Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections feature 27 parties competing for 395 House seats under a list-based proportional system, with the outgoing RNI-PAM-Istiqlal coalition defending its majority. Traders assign the highest probability for third place to RNI, followed by USFP, PJD, and PAM, reflecting a fragmented field where no single opposition force has consolidated support. The campaign centers on youth unemployment, living costs, and public services, with governing parties highlighting job-creation pledges and World Cup infrastructure while PJD seeks recovery from its 2021 collapse. Low youth turnout, lingering protest grievances, and limited recent polling keep the ordering fluid, though late shifts in regional strongholds or turnout among key demographics could reorder the lower top-three finishers before results are certified.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於PI 50%
RNI 26%
PJD 12.8%
PAM 4.0%
$41,293 交易量
$41,293 交易量

PI
50%

RNI
26%

PJD
8%

PAM
4%

USFP
10%

UC
<1%

MP
<1%

PPS
<1%
PI 50%
RNI 26%
PJD 12.8%
PAM 4.0%
$41,293 交易量
$41,293 交易量

PI
50%

RNI
26%

PJD
8%

PAM
4%

USFP
10%

UC
<1%

MP
<1%

PPS
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
市場開放時間: Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections feature 27 parties competing for 395 House seats under a list-based proportional system, with the outgoing RNI-PAM-Istiqlal coalition defending its majority. Traders assign the highest probability for third place to RNI, followed by USFP, PJD, and PAM, reflecting a fragmented field where no single opposition force has consolidated support. The campaign centers on youth unemployment, living costs, and public services, with governing parties highlighting job-creation pledges and World Cup infrastructure while PJD seeks recovery from its 2021 collapse. Low youth turnout, lingering protest grievances, and limited recent polling keep the ordering fluid, though late shifts in regional strongholds or turnout among key demographics could reorder the lower top-three finishers before results are certified.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions