Romania's recent government collapse after the May 5 no-confidence vote against Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan has left the field for his successor highly fragmented, with no single contender commanding broad support. President Nicușor Dan's ongoing consultations with parliamentary groups emphasize the need for a stable pro-European majority capable of securing investiture, while parties weigh technocratic options amid tensions over fiscal reforms and coalition realignments. The wide dispersion of probabilities reflects uncertainty about which figures from the former centrist alliance or independent backgrounds can assemble the necessary cross-party backing without triggering early elections. Developments such as formal party endorsements, agreement on austerity measures, or a clear parliamentary majority in the coming weeks could quickly consolidate trader views around leading candidates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Șerban Matei 18.1%
拉杜·布爾內特 10%
Sorin Grindeanu 10%
Cătălin Predoiu 6%
$545,596 交易量
$545,596 交易量
Șerban Matei
18%
拉杜·布爾內特
10%
Sorin Grindeanu
10%
Cătălin Predoiu
6%
Anca Dragu
3%
Dragoș Pîslaru
2%
亞歷山德魯·納扎雷
2%
亞歷山德魯·羅戈貝特
1%
George Simion
1%
Ilie Bolojan
1%
Delia Velculescu
1%
丹·莫特雷亞努
1%
奇普里安·丘库
1%
Ionuț Dumitru
<1%
Mugur Isărescu
<1%
Mircea Geoană
<1%
Lucian Isar
<1%
Marcel Ciolacu
<1%
Alexandru Rafila
<1%
Sebastian Burduja
<1%
Elena Lasconi
<1%
Cătălin Drulă
<1%
Vasile Dîncu
<1%
Dacian Cioloș
<1%
Emil Boc
<1%
Dominic Fritz
<1%
Raluca Turcan
<1%
Lucian Croitoru
<1%
Nicolae Ciucă
<1%
胡諾爾·凱萊門
<1%
卡林·喬治斯庫
<1%
特拉揚·貝塞斯庫
<1%
Șerban Matei 18.1%
拉杜·布爾內特 10%
Sorin Grindeanu 10%
Cătălin Predoiu 6%
$545,596 交易量
$545,596 交易量
Șerban Matei
18%
拉杜·布爾內特
10%
Sorin Grindeanu
10%
Cătălin Predoiu
6%
Anca Dragu
3%
Dragoș Pîslaru
2%
亞歷山德魯·納扎雷
2%
亞歷山德魯·羅戈貝特
1%
George Simion
1%
Ilie Bolojan
1%
Delia Velculescu
1%
丹·莫特雷亞努
1%
奇普里安·丘库
1%
Ionuț Dumitru
<1%
Mugur Isărescu
<1%
Mircea Geoană
<1%
Lucian Isar
<1%
Marcel Ciolacu
<1%
Alexandru Rafila
<1%
Sebastian Burduja
<1%
Elena Lasconi
<1%
Cătălin Drulă
<1%
Vasile Dîncu
<1%
Dacian Cioloș
<1%
Emil Boc
<1%
Dominic Fritz
<1%
Raluca Turcan
<1%
Lucian Croitoru
<1%
Nicolae Ciucă
<1%
胡諾爾·凱萊門
<1%
卡林·喬治斯庫
<1%
特拉揚·貝塞斯庫
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Romania's recent government collapse after the May 5 no-confidence vote against Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan has left the field for his successor highly fragmented, with no single contender commanding broad support. President Nicușor Dan's ongoing consultations with parliamentary groups emphasize the need for a stable pro-European majority capable of securing investiture, while parties weigh technocratic options amid tensions over fiscal reforms and coalition realignments. The wide dispersion of probabilities reflects uncertainty about which figures from the former centrist alliance or independent backgrounds can assemble the necessary cross-party backing without triggering early elections. Developments such as formal party endorsements, agreement on austerity measures, or a clear parliamentary majority in the coming weeks could quickly consolidate trader views around leading candidates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions