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icon for 下一任羅馬尼亞總理由… ？
政治·Eu

下一任羅馬尼亞總理由… ？

icon for 下一任羅馬尼亞總理由… ？
政治·Eu

下一任羅馬尼亞總理由… ？

$26,511 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$26,511 交易量

Polymarket

September 30

$803 交易量

50%

12月31日

$8,006 交易量

82%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of Romania is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the individual must be approved by the Romanian Parliament and officially sworn in as Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. Nomination for parliamentary consideration by the President will not count. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's ongoing political crisis, triggered by the May 2026 no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan, continues to shape expectations for the next appointment. President Nicușor Dan has already seen two nominees—Eugen Tomac and Adrian Veștea—fail to secure parliamentary approval amid disputes over coalition composition and minority cabinet support. Centre-right parties (PNL, USR, UDMR) and the Social Democrats (PSD) remain divided, with PSD backing Sorin Grindeanu and recent reports highlighting Dan's consideration of diplomat Luca Niculescu for a PSD-led arrangement. The far-right AUR leads polls by wide margins, raising the stakes of any snap election trigger under constitutional rules limiting further nominations. Economic pressures, including deficit concerns ahead of an October S&P review, add urgency to resolving the deadlock through parliamentary negotiations.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of Romania is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To count for resolution, the individual must be approved by the Romanian Parliament and officially sworn in as Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. Nomination for parliamentary consideration by the President will not count.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of Romania is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the individual must be approved by the Romanian Parliament and officially sworn in as Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. Nomination for parliamentary consideration by the President will not count. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$26,511
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 8:31 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of Romania is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the individual must be approved by the Romanian Parliament and officially sworn in as Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. Nomination for parliamentary consideration by the President will not count. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's ongoing political crisis, triggered by the May 2026 no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan, continues to shape expectations for the next appointment. President Nicușor Dan has already seen two nominees—Eugen Tomac and Adrian Veștea—fail to secure parliamentary approval amid disputes over coalition composition and minority cabinet support. Centre-right parties (PNL, USR, UDMR) and the Social Democrats (PSD) remain divided, with PSD backing Sorin Grindeanu and recent reports highlighting Dan's consideration of diplomat Luca Niculescu for a PSD-led arrangement. The far-right AUR leads polls by wide margins, raising the stakes of any snap election trigger under constitutional rules limiting further nominations. Economic pressures, including deficit concerns ahead of an October S&P review, add urgency to resolving the deadlock through parliamentary negotiations.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of Romania is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To count for resolution, the individual must be approved by the Romanian Parliament and officially sworn in as Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. Nomination for parliamentary consideration by the President will not count.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of Romania is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the individual must be approved by the Romanian Parliament and officially sworn in as Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. Nomination for parliamentary consideration by the President will not count. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$26,511
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 8:31 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"下一任羅馬尼亞總理由… ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 82%, followed by "September 30" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 82¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "下一任羅馬尼亞總理由… ？" has generated $26.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "下一任羅馬尼亞總理由… ？," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "下一任羅馬尼亞總理由… ？" is "12月31日" at 82%, meaning the market assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "September 30" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "下一任羅馬尼亞總理由… ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.