Ursula von der Leyen is serving her second term as European Commission President, elected by the European Parliament in July 2024 and scheduled to lead until the 2029 elections. As of September 2026, she remains fully engaged in office, delivering the annual State of the Union address, advancing policy priorities on competitiveness, security, climate adaptation, and EU-Canada relations, and conducting international diplomacy. Her centrist parliamentary coalition has held through key votes, with no successful motions of censure or institutional challenges materializing. The European Commission’s official records confirm continuity through 2029, and recent speculation about early departure or replacement has lacked substantiation. Traders assign a 93.3% probability she remains in post through 2026, reflecting this stable mandate and absence of disruptive political developments.