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icon for 荷蘭眾議院在2026年解散?

荷蘭眾議院在2026年解散?

icon for 荷蘭眾議院在2026年解散?

荷蘭眾議院在2026年解散?

7% 機率
Polymarket

$23,585 交易量

7% 機率
Polymarket

$23,585 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Jetten minority cabinet, formed in February 2026 from D66, VVD, and CDA with 66 of 150 Tweede Kamer seats after the October 2025 snap election, has shown stability through its initial months despite lacking a parliamentary majority. Recent budget negotiations in September 2026 have involved outreach to opposition parties including Pro, JA21, and others for support on fiscal plans, rather than triggering a collapse that would prompt royal decree dissolution under Article 64 of the constitution. Fragmented opposition dynamics, with right-wing parties favoring early elections but lacking coordination, have reinforced trader consensus that the current House is likely to complete its term without dissolution before the end of 2026, consistent with patterns where newly installed minority governments prioritize survival through the legislative calendar.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$23,585
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Jetten minority cabinet, formed in February 2026 from D66, VVD, and CDA with 66 of 150 Tweede Kamer seats after the October 2025 snap election, has shown stability through its initial months despite lacking a parliamentary majority. Recent budget negotiations in September 2026 have involved outreach to opposition parties including Pro, JA21, and others for support on fiscal plans, rather than triggering a collapse that would prompt royal decree dissolution under Article 64 of the constitution. Fragmented opposition dynamics, with right-wing parties favoring early elections but lacking coordination, have reinforced trader consensus that the current House is likely to complete its term without dissolution before the end of 2026, consistent with patterns where newly installed minority governments prioritize survival through the legislative calendar.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$23,585
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 7:17 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"荷蘭眾議院在2026年解散?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "荷蘭眾議院將於2026年解散嗎?" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 7¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 7% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "荷蘭眾議院在2026年解散?" has generated $23.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "荷蘭眾議院在2026年解散?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "荷蘭眾議院在2026年解散?" is "荷蘭眾議院將於2026年解散嗎?" at just 7%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "荷蘭眾議院在2026年解散?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.