Lula's commanding position in Pernambuco for first place in the October 2026 first round stems from his birth in the state and enduring strength across Brazil's Northeast, where Workers' Party social policies have historically secured broad voter loyalty. Recent state-level polling shows him at 58% against Flavio Bolsonaro at 24%, far exceeding national first-round averages around 40%. The official campaign launch on August 16 and Lula's endorsements of aligned state candidates have reinforced this regional base. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-campaign shifts in turnout among undecided voters or unexpected national events altering economic perceptions, though Pernambuco's structural advantages make a non-Lula first-place finish improbable absent major disruptions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於魯拉 93.3%
弗拉維奧·波索納羅 1.7%
赫茲·迪亞斯 <1%
Pablo Marçal <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
魯拉
93%
弗拉維奧·波索納羅
2%
赫茲·迪亞斯
1%
Pablo Marçal
1%
雷南·桑托斯
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
1%
Samara
1%
獸醫威爾遜·格拉西
1%
澤馬
1%
克拉麗安娜·巴勞
1%
埃德米爾松·科斯塔
1%
作家奧古斯托·庫里
1%
魯拉 93.3%
弗拉維奧·波索納羅 1.7%
赫茲·迪亞斯 <1%
Pablo Marçal <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
魯拉
$2,407 交易量
93%
弗拉維奧·波索納羅
$250 交易量
2%
赫茲·迪亞斯
$237 交易量
1%
Pablo Marçal
$238 交易量
1%
雷南·桑托斯
$224 交易量
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$278 交易量
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$238 交易量
1%
Samara
$238 交易量
1%
獸醫威爾遜·格拉西
$237 交易量
1%
澤馬
$239 交易量
1%
克拉麗安娜·巴勞
$224 交易量
1%
埃德米爾松·科斯塔
$238 交易量
1%
作家奧古斯托·庫里
$239 交易量
1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula's commanding position in Pernambuco for first place in the October 2026 first round stems from his birth in the state and enduring strength across Brazil's Northeast, where Workers' Party social policies have historically secured broad voter loyalty. Recent state-level polling shows him at 58% against Flavio Bolsonaro at 24%, far exceeding national first-round averages around 40%. The official campaign launch on August 16 and Lula's endorsements of aligned state candidates have reinforced this regional base. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-campaign shifts in turnout among undecided voters or unexpected national events altering economic perceptions, though Pernambuco's structural advantages make a non-Lula first-place finish improbable absent major disruptions.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
交易量
$5,286結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula's commanding position in Pernambuco for first place in the October 2026 first round stems from his birth in the state and enduring strength across Brazil's Northeast, where Workers' Party social policies have historically secured broad voter loyalty. Recent state-level polling shows him at 58% against Flavio Bolsonaro at 24%, far exceeding national first-round averages around 40%. The official campaign launch on August 16 and Lula's endorsements of aligned state candidates have reinforced this regional base. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-campaign shifts in turnout among undecided voters or unexpected national events altering economic perceptions, though Pernambuco's structural advantages make a non-Lula first-place finish improbable absent major disruptions.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$5,286結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula's commanding position in Pernambuco for first place in the October 2026 first round stems from his birth in the state and enduring strength across Brazil's Northeast, where Workers' Party social policies have historically secured broad voter loyalty. Recent state-level polling shows him at 58% against Flavio Bolsonaro at 24%, far exceeding national first-round averages around 40%. The official campaign launch on August 16 and Lula's endorsements of aligned state candidates have reinforced this regional base. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-campaign shifts in turnout among undecided voters or unexpected national events altering economic perceptions, though Pernambuco's structural advantages make a non-Lula first-place finish improbable absent major disruptions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions