Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for first place in Santa Catarina's first-round presidential vote due to the state's conservative electorate and the Liberal Party's entrenched regional strength. Recent party conventions in the state, including his August 1 appearance alongside gubernatorial candidate Jorginho Mello, have reinforced mobilization among right-leaning voters who backed the Bolsonaro family in prior cycles. National polling shows Lula ahead overall, yet Santa Catarina's consistent preference for PL-aligned candidates limits opposition inroads. Factors that could narrow this margin include vote fragmentation among other right-wing contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado or Renan Santos, late-campaign shifts in turnout, or unforeseen national developments that alter local sentiment before the October 4 ballot.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於弗拉維奧·波索納羅 93%
盧拉 3.4%
Edmilson Costa <1%
作家奧古斯托·庫里 <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
弗拉維奧·波索納羅
93%
盧拉
3%
Edmilson Costa
1%
作家奧古斯托·庫里
1%
赫茲·迪亞斯
1%
Pablo Marçal
1%
雷南·桑托斯
1%
羅納爾多·卡亞多
1%
獸醫威爾遜·格拉西
1%
澤馬
1%
Clariana Barao
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
薩馬拉
<1%
弗拉維奧·波索納羅 93%
盧拉 3.4%
Edmilson Costa <1%
作家奧古斯托·庫里 <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
弗拉維奧·波索納羅
$766 交易量
93%
盧拉
$170 交易量
3%
Edmilson Costa
$170 交易量
1%
作家奧古斯托·庫里
$170 交易量
1%
赫茲·迪亞斯
$170 交易量
1%
Pablo Marçal
$170 交易量
1%
雷南·桑托斯
$170 交易量
1%
羅納爾多·卡亞多
$170 交易量
1%
獸醫威爾遜·格拉西
$170 交易量
1%
澤馬
$160 交易量
1%
Clariana Barao
$170 交易量
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$175 交易量
<1%
薩馬拉
$175 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for first place in Santa Catarina's first-round presidential vote due to the state's conservative electorate and the Liberal Party's entrenched regional strength. Recent party conventions in the state, including his August 1 appearance alongside gubernatorial candidate Jorginho Mello, have reinforced mobilization among right-leaning voters who backed the Bolsonaro family in prior cycles. National polling shows Lula ahead overall, yet Santa Catarina's consistent preference for PL-aligned candidates limits opposition inroads. Factors that could narrow this margin include vote fragmentation among other right-wing contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado or Renan Santos, late-campaign shifts in turnout, or unforeseen national developments that alter local sentiment before the October 4 ballot.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
交易量
$2,808結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for first place in Santa Catarina's first-round presidential vote due to the state's conservative electorate and the Liberal Party's entrenched regional strength. Recent party conventions in the state, including his August 1 appearance alongside gubernatorial candidate Jorginho Mello, have reinforced mobilization among right-leaning voters who backed the Bolsonaro family in prior cycles. National polling shows Lula ahead overall, yet Santa Catarina's consistent preference for PL-aligned candidates limits opposition inroads. Factors that could narrow this margin include vote fragmentation among other right-wing contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado or Renan Santos, late-campaign shifts in turnout, or unforeseen national developments that alter local sentiment before the October 4 ballot.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$2,808結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for first place in Santa Catarina's first-round presidential vote due to the state's conservative electorate and the Liberal Party's entrenched regional strength. Recent party conventions in the state, including his August 1 appearance alongside gubernatorial candidate Jorginho Mello, have reinforced mobilization among right-leaning voters who backed the Bolsonaro family in prior cycles. National polling shows Lula ahead overall, yet Santa Catarina's consistent preference for PL-aligned candidates limits opposition inroads. Factors that could narrow this margin include vote fragmentation among other right-wing contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado or Renan Santos, late-campaign shifts in turnout, or unforeseen national developments that alter local sentiment before the October 4 ballot.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions