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政治·哈薩克

哈薩克斯坦庫爾泰選舉：第二名

icon for 哈薩克斯坦庫爾泰選舉：第二名
政治·哈薩克

哈薩克斯坦庫爾泰選舉：第二名

奧伊勒 43%

阿克祖爾 42%

Adilet 41%

Respublica 41%

Polymarket
最新

奧伊勒 43%

阿克祖爾 42%

Adilet 41%

Respublica 41%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 奧伊勒

奧伊勒

$0 交易量

43%

icon for 阿克祖爾

阿克祖爾

$0 交易量

42%

icon for Adilet

Adilet

$0 交易量

41%

icon for Respublica

Respublica

$0 交易量

41%

icon for JSDP

JSDP

$0 交易量

41%

icon for Baytaq

Baytaq

$0 交易量

41%

icon for QHP

QHP

$0 交易量

40%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.The closely matched probabilities for second place in Kazakhstan's Kurultai election reflect a fragmented multi-party field where no single contender has established a decisive edge. Structural elements of the electoral system, including proportional representation and regional voting patterns, sustain this balance among established groups such as Auyl, Adilet, Respublica, Aq Jol, and JSDP. Recent months have seen no major legislative shifts, candidate withdrawals, or public polling surges capable of separating the pack, leaving trader consensus aligned with historical base rates of competitive outcomes in Kazakh parliamentary-style contests. Any upcoming coalition signals, turnout changes, or official announcements before resolution could alter relative standings.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-08-23
市場開放時間
Jul 13, 2026, 7:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.The closely matched probabilities for second place in Kazakhstan's Kurultai election reflect a fragmented multi-party field where no single contender has established a decisive edge. Structural elements of the electoral system, including proportional representation and regional voting patterns, sustain this balance among established groups such as Auyl, Adilet, Respublica, Aq Jol, and JSDP. Recent months have seen no major legislative shifts, candidate withdrawals, or public polling surges capable of separating the pack, leaving trader consensus aligned with historical base rates of competitive outcomes in Kazakh parliamentary-style contests. Any upcoming coalition signals, turnout changes, or official announcements before resolution could alter relative standings.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-08-23
市場開放時間
Jul 13, 2026, 7:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"哈薩克斯坦庫爾泰選舉：第二名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "奧伊勒" at 43%, followed by "阿克祖爾" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"哈薩克斯坦庫爾泰選舉：第二名" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "哈薩克斯坦庫爾泰選舉：第二名," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哈薩克斯坦庫爾泰選舉：第二名" is "奧伊勒" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "阿克祖爾" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哈薩克斯坦庫爾泰選舉：第二名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.