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icon for 誰將取代Graham擔任南卡羅來納州參議員？
政治·參議院

誰將取代Graham擔任南卡羅來納州參議員？

icon for 誰將取代Graham擔任南卡羅來納州參議員？
政治·參議院

誰將取代Graham擔任南卡羅來納州參議員？

帕梅拉·埃維特 37.7%

大衛·威爾金斯 18.6%

羅素·弗萊 9%

喬·威爾森 6.8%

Polymarket
最新

$11,311 交易量

帕梅拉·埃維特 37.7%

大衛·威爾金斯 18.6%

羅素·弗萊 9%

喬·威爾森 6.8%

Polymarket
最新

$11,311 交易量

icon for 帕梅拉·埃維特

帕梅拉·埃維特

$7,168 交易量

38%

icon for 大衛·威爾金斯

大衛·威爾金斯

$511 交易量

19%

icon for 羅素·弗萊

羅素·弗萊

$661 交易量

9%

icon for 喬·威爾森

喬·威爾森

$604 交易量

11%

icon for 拉爾夫·諾曼

拉爾夫·諾曼

$268 交易量

7%

icon for 南希·梅斯

南希·梅斯

$636 交易量

6%

icon for 艾倫·威爾遜

艾倫·威爾遜

$186 交易量

4%

icon for 安德烈·鮑爾

安德烈·鮑爾

$186 交易量

4%

icon for 米克·馬爾瓦尼

米克·馬爾瓦尼

$186 交易量

3%

icon for Paul Dans

Paul Dans

$186 交易量

3%

icon for 斯科特·貝森特

斯科特·貝森特

$36 交易量

3%

icon for Bob Peeler

Bob Peeler

$186 交易量

2%

icon for 謝麗·比格斯

謝麗·比格斯

$186 交易量

2%

icon for 期中選舉前無人

期中選舉前無人

$56 交易量

1%

icon for 馬克·林奇

馬克·林奇

$196 交易量

1%

icon for 威廉·提蒙斯

威廉·提蒙斯

$56 交易量

1%

The Governor of South Carolina may appoint a replacement U.S. Senator for South Carolina to serve the rest of Lindsey Graham’s term. This market will resolve according to the next person officially appointed by the Governor of South Carolina, or otherwise formally selected according to the jurisdiction's vacancy rules, to fill Lindsey Graham’s seat as United States Senator from South Carolina. Interim, Acting, or other temporary Senators appointed or elected to the role will count. If no replacement senator has been appointed or elected by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None Before Midterm Election.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of South Carolina and the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lindsey Graham’s sudden death on July 11, 2026, after winning the June Republican primary, has created an open contest for South Carolina’s Senate seat. Governor Henry McMaster will appoint an interim holder until January 2027, while state law triggers a special primary on August 11 to select the GOP nominee for the November general election. With no dominant frontrunner and a broad list of potential candidates including sitting members of Congress and state officials, trader probabilities remain clustered near even odds. The outcome hinges on filing deadlines, McMaster’s appointment decision, and rapid consolidation of party support ahead of the compressed primary timeline.

The Governor of South Carolina may appoint a replacement U.S. Senator for South Carolina to serve the rest of Lindsey Graham’s term.

This market will resolve according to the next person officially appointed by the Governor of South Carolina, or otherwise formally selected according to the jurisdiction's vacancy rules, to fill Lindsey Graham’s seat as United States Senator from South Carolina.

Interim, Acting, or other temporary Senators appointed or elected to the role will count.

If no replacement senator has been appointed or elected by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None Before Midterm Election.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of South Carolina and the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$11,311
結束日期
2026-11-02
市場開放時間
Jul 12, 2026, 11:17 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Governor of South Carolina may appoint a replacement U.S. Senator for South Carolina to serve the rest of Lindsey Graham’s term. This market will resolve according to the next person officially appointed by the Governor of South Carolina, or otherwise formally selected according to the jurisdiction's vacancy rules, to fill Lindsey Graham’s seat as United States Senator from South Carolina. Interim, Acting, or other temporary Senators appointed or elected to the role will count. If no replacement senator has been appointed or elected by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None Before Midterm Election.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of South Carolina and the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Governor of South Carolina may appoint a replacement U.S. Senator for South Carolina to serve the rest of Lindsey Graham’s term. This market will resolve according to the next person officially appointed by the Governor of South Carolina, or otherwise formally selected according to the jurisdiction's vacancy rules, to fill Lindsey Graham’s seat as United States Senator from South Carolina. Interim, Acting, or other temporary Senators appointed or elected to the role will count. If no replacement senator has been appointed or elected by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None Before Midterm Election.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of South Carolina and the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lindsey Graham’s sudden death on July 11, 2026, after winning the June Republican primary, has created an open contest for South Carolina’s Senate seat. Governor Henry McMaster will appoint an interim holder until January 2027, while state law triggers a special primary on August 11 to select the GOP nominee for the November general election. With no dominant frontrunner and a broad list of potential candidates including sitting members of Congress and state officials, trader probabilities remain clustered near even odds. The outcome hinges on filing deadlines, McMaster’s appointment decision, and rapid consolidation of party support ahead of the compressed primary timeline.

The Governor of South Carolina may appoint a replacement U.S. Senator for South Carolina to serve the rest of Lindsey Graham’s term.

This market will resolve according to the next person officially appointed by the Governor of South Carolina, or otherwise formally selected according to the jurisdiction's vacancy rules, to fill Lindsey Graham’s seat as United States Senator from South Carolina.

Interim, Acting, or other temporary Senators appointed or elected to the role will count.

If no replacement senator has been appointed or elected by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None Before Midterm Election.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of South Carolina and the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$11,311
結束日期
2026-11-02
市場開放時間
Jul 12, 2026, 11:17 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Governor of South Carolina may appoint a replacement U.S. Senator for South Carolina to serve the rest of Lindsey Graham’s term. This market will resolve according to the next person officially appointed by the Governor of South Carolina, or otherwise formally selected according to the jurisdiction's vacancy rules, to fill Lindsey Graham’s seat as United States Senator from South Carolina. Interim, Acting, or other temporary Senators appointed or elected to the role will count. If no replacement senator has been appointed or elected by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None Before Midterm Election.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of South Carolina and the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將取代Graham擔任南卡羅來納州參議員？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "帕梅拉·埃維特" at 38%, followed by "大衛·威爾金斯" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "誰將取代Graham擔任南卡羅來納州參議員？" has generated $11.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "誰將取代Graham擔任南卡羅來納州參議員？," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將取代Graham擔任南卡羅來納州參議員？" is "帕梅拉·埃維特" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "大衛·威爾金斯" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將取代Graham擔任南卡羅來納州參議員？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.