Skip to main content
icon for 傑伊·克萊頓被…證實為國家情報總監？
政治·參議院

傑伊·克萊頓被…證實為國家情報總監？

icon for 傑伊·克萊頓被…證實為國家情報總監？
政治·參議院

傑伊·克萊頓被…證實為國家情報總監？

最新
2027-01-01
Polymarket

$269 交易量

Polymarket

6月30日

$50 交易量

71%

8月30日

$72 交易量

76%

10月31日

$48 交易量

57%

12月31日

$99 交易量

79%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jay Clayton is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Jay Clayton's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Director of National Intelligence for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump announced on June 11, 2026, his nomination of Jay Clayton, the current U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York and former SEC chairman, to serve as Director of National Intelligence. The move follows controversy over an acting appointee and aims to fill the permanent role overseeing the intelligence community. Senate confirmation requires a majority vote in the Republican-controlled chamber, where early statements from GOP senators have signaled support for swift review. Democrats have raised procedural and related concerns but have not mounted unified opposition to date. The Senate Intelligence Committee is expected to hold hearings soon, with the outcome hinging on committee votes, floor scheduling, and any emerging bipartisan consensus during the confirmation process.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jay Clayton is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Jay Clayton's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee as Director of National Intelligence for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$269
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 11:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jay Clayton is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Jay Clayton's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Director of National Intelligence for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jay Clayton is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Jay Clayton's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Director of National Intelligence for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump announced on June 11, 2026, his nomination of Jay Clayton, the current U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York and former SEC chairman, to serve as Director of National Intelligence. The move follows controversy over an acting appointee and aims to fill the permanent role overseeing the intelligence community. Senate confirmation requires a majority vote in the Republican-controlled chamber, where early statements from GOP senators have signaled support for swift review. Democrats have raised procedural and related concerns but have not mounted unified opposition to date. The Senate Intelligence Committee is expected to hold hearings soon, with the outcome hinging on committee votes, floor scheduling, and any emerging bipartisan consensus during the confirmation process.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jay Clayton is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Jay Clayton's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee as Director of National Intelligence for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$269
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 11:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jay Clayton is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Jay Clayton's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Director of National Intelligence for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"傑伊·克萊頓被…證實為國家情報總監？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 79%, followed by "8月30日" at 76%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"傑伊·克萊頓被…證實為國家情報總監？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "傑伊·克萊頓被…證實為國家情報總監？," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "傑伊·克萊頓被…證實為國家情報總監？" is "12月31日" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "8月30日" at 76%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "傑伊·克萊頓被…證實為國家情報總監？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.