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icon for Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?
政治·亨特·拜登

Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?

icon for Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?
政治·亨特·拜登

Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?

2% 機率
Polymarket

$22,092 交易量

2% 機率
Polymarket

$22,092 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden announces that he will run for US Senator from Delaware by July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Hunter Biden has issued no statements, formed no exploratory committee, filed no candidacy papers, and conducted no visible outreach to Delaware Democratic officials ahead of the July 14 deadline. Incumbent Senator Chris Coons already faces multiple Democratic primary challengers for the September 2026 ballot, and state filing deadlines leave little room for a surprise late entrant. Recent public appearances by Hunter Biden have centered on lighthearted 2028 speculation rather than any Delaware Senate bid, reinforcing the market's 98% consensus on "No." A last-minute announcement remains theoretically possible but would require overcoming significant procedural, logistical, and political barriers within the narrow remaining window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden announces that he will run for US Senator from Delaware by July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$22,092
結束日期
2026-07-14
市場開放時間
May 19, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden announces that he will run for US Senator from Delaware by July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden announces that he will run for US Senator from Delaware by July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Hunter Biden has issued no statements, formed no exploratory committee, filed no candidacy papers, and conducted no visible outreach to Delaware Democratic officials ahead of the July 14 deadline. Incumbent Senator Chris Coons already faces multiple Democratic primary challengers for the September 2026 ballot, and state filing deadlines leave little room for a surprise late entrant. Recent public appearances by Hunter Biden have centered on lighthearted 2028 speculation rather than any Delaware Senate bid, reinforcing the market's 98% consensus on "No." A last-minute announcement remains theoretically possible but would require overcoming significant procedural, logistical, and political barriers within the narrow remaining window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden announces that he will run for US Senator from Delaware by July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$22,092
結束日期
2026-07-14
市場開放時間
May 19, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden announces that he will run for US Senator from Delaware by July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 2% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 2¢, the market collectively assigns a 2% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?" has generated $22.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?" is 2% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 2% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.