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icon for CA-40眾議院選舉優勝者（個人）
政治·中期

CA-40眾議院選舉優勝者（個人）

icon for CA-40眾議院選舉優勝者（個人）
政治·中期

CA-40眾議院選舉優勝者（個人）

Polymarket
最新
Polymarket
最新

Ken Calvert

$1,564 交易量

69%

金映玉

$1,423 交易量

32%

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ken Calvert holds a clear lead in trader consensus for the CA-40 general election on November 3, reflecting his stronger primary performance and larger share of the redrawn district created by Proposition 50. The June top-two primary advanced Calvert and Young Kim after they received 34.9% and 20.6% respectively, shutting out Democratic candidates. Calvert represents about 51% of the new district compared with Kim’s 35%, giving him an incumbency and geographic edge in a solidly Republican seat. A July internal poll showed the race as a statistical dead heat, with Kim demonstrating stronger second-quarter fundraising. Ongoing negative advertising between the two Republicans continues to shape voter perceptions ahead of the November contest.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,987
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ken Calvert holds a clear lead in trader consensus for the CA-40 general election on November 3, reflecting his stronger primary performance and larger share of the redrawn district created by Proposition 50. The June top-two primary advanced Calvert and Young Kim after they received 34.9% and 20.6% respectively, shutting out Democratic candidates. Calvert represents about 51% of the new district compared with Kim’s 35%, giving him an incumbency and geographic edge in a solidly Republican seat. A July internal poll showed the race as a statistical dead heat, with Kim demonstrating stronger second-quarter fundraising. Ongoing negative advertising between the two Republicans continues to shape voter perceptions ahead of the November contest.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,987
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"CA-40眾議院選舉優勝者（個人）" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ken Calvert" at 69%, followed by "金映玉" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"CA-40眾議院選舉優勝者（個人）" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "CA-40眾議院選舉優勝者（個人）," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "CA-40眾議院選舉優勝者（個人）" is "Ken Calvert" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "金映玉" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "CA-40眾議院選舉優勝者（個人）" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.