With the 2026 midterms roughly four months away, trader consensus on Republican Senate and House seat totals remains tightly clustered across multiple outcome ranges because no single party holds a decisive edge in current polling or structural factors. The president's party historically faces headwinds in midterm cycles, yet outcomes hinge on variables including economic indicators, voter turnout in key battlegrounds, candidate recruitment and primary results, and national sentiment on issues such as immigration, trade policy, and federal spending. Upcoming Senate and House primaries, special election results, and any legislative action on appropriations or continuing resolutions could shift momentum, while late-cycle events like candidate withdrawals or major policy announcements retain potential to alter seat projections before November voting concludes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於≥53且≤207 37.8%
50–52和208–222 36%
50–52 和 ≥223 32%
不超過46席及不超過192席 31%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
≥53和≥223
26%
≥53和208–222
23%
≥53且≤207
38%
50–52 和 ≥223
20%
50–52和208–222
36%
50–52和193–207
24%
50–52及不超過192
23%
47–49和≥208
22%
47–49 和 193–207
27%
47–49 和 ≤192
30%
不超過46及至少208
27%
少於或等於46席且193–207席
15%
不超過46席及不超過192席
31%
≥53且≤207 37.8%
50–52和208–222 36%
50–52 和 ≥223 32%
不超過46席及不超過192席 31%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
≥53和≥223
$47 交易量
26%
≥53和208–222
$48 交易量
23%
≥53且≤207
$55 交易量
38%
50–52 和 ≥223
$44 交易量
20%
50–52和208–222
$52 交易量
36%
50–52和193–207
$46 交易量
24%
50–52及不超過192
$46 交易量
23%
47–49和≥208
$38 交易量
22%
47–49 和 193–207
$46 交易量
27%
47–49 和 ≤192
$46 交易量
30%
不超過46及至少208
$44 交易量
27%
少於或等於46席且193–207席
$52 交易量
15%
不超過46席及不超過192席
$25 交易量
31%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in both the US House of Representatives and the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
The number of House seats held by the Republican Party will be determined based upon the results of all US House of Representatives elections for voting members, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
The number of Senate seats held by the Republican party based on both the composition of seats that are not up for election and the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
With the 2026 midterms roughly four months away, trader consensus on Republican Senate and House seat totals remains tightly clustered across multiple outcome ranges because no single party holds a decisive edge in current polling or structural factors. The president's party historically faces headwinds in midterm cycles, yet outcomes hinge on variables including economic indicators, voter turnout in key battlegrounds, candidate recruitment and primary results, and national sentiment on issues such as immigration, trade policy, and federal spending. Upcoming Senate and House primaries, special election results, and any legislative action on appropriations or continuing resolutions could shift momentum, while late-cycle events like candidate withdrawals or major policy announcements retain potential to alter seat projections before November voting concludes.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in both the US House of Representatives and the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
The number of House seats held by the Republican Party will be determined based upon the results of all US House of Representatives elections for voting members, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
The number of Senate seats held by the Republican party based on both the composition of seats that are not up for election and the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in both the US House of Representatives and the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
The number of House seats held by the Republican Party will be determined based upon the results of all US House of Representatives elections for voting members, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
The number of Senate seats held by the Republican party based on both the composition of seats that are not up for election and the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Jun 25, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
交易量
$586結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jun 25, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in both the US House of Representatives and the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
The number of House seats held by the Republican Party will be determined based upon the results of all US House of Representatives elections for voting members, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
The number of Senate seats held by the Republican party based on both the composition of seats that are not up for election and the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
With the 2026 midterms roughly four months away, trader consensus on Republican Senate and House seat totals remains tightly clustered across multiple outcome ranges because no single party holds a decisive edge in current polling or structural factors. The president's party historically faces headwinds in midterm cycles, yet outcomes hinge on variables including economic indicators, voter turnout in key battlegrounds, candidate recruitment and primary results, and national sentiment on issues such as immigration, trade policy, and federal spending. Upcoming Senate and House primaries, special election results, and any legislative action on appropriations or continuing resolutions could shift momentum, while late-cycle events like candidate withdrawals or major policy announcements retain potential to alter seat projections before November voting concludes.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in both the US House of Representatives and the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
The number of House seats held by the Republican Party will be determined based upon the results of all US House of Representatives elections for voting members, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
The number of Senate seats held by the Republican party based on both the composition of seats that are not up for election and the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in both the US House of Representatives and the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
The number of House seats held by the Republican Party will be determined based upon the results of all US House of Representatives elections for voting members, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
The number of Senate seats held by the Republican party based on both the composition of seats that are not up for election and the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$586結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jun 25, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With the 2026 midterms roughly four months away, trader consensus on Republican Senate and House seat totals remains tightly clustered across multiple outcome ranges because no single party holds a decisive edge in current polling or structural factors. The president's party historically faces headwinds in midterm cycles, yet outcomes hinge on variables including economic indicators, voter turnout in key battlegrounds, candidate recruitment and primary results, and national sentiment on issues such as immigration, trade policy, and federal spending. Upcoming Senate and House primaries, special election results, and any legislative action on appropriations or continuing resolutions could shift momentum, while late-cycle events like candidate withdrawals or major policy announcements retain potential to alter seat projections before November voting concludes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions