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icon for Speaker of the House after the midterms?
政治·眾議院

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

icon for Speaker of the House after the midterms?
政治·眾議院

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Hakeem Jeffries 78%

Mike Johnson 16.7%

Katherine Clark 8.8%

Jim Jordan 5.5%

Polymarket
最新

Hakeem Jeffries 78%

Mike Johnson 16.7%

Katherine Clark 8.8%

Jim Jordan 5.5%

Polymarket
最新
icon for Hakeem Jeffries

Hakeem Jeffries

$2,041 交易量

78%

icon for Katherine Clark

Katherine Clark

$96 交易量

10%

icon for Pete Aguilar

Pete Aguilar

$78 交易量

2%

icon for Jim Jordan

Jim Jordan

$113 交易量

6%

icon for Steve Scalise

Steve Scalise

$83 交易量

3%

icon for Mike Johnson

Mike Johnson

$124 交易量

11%

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Democrats hold a strong edge in 2026 House forecasts, with prediction platforms assigning them roughly 80-86% odds of securing a majority, driven by the historical midterm penalty for the president's party and consistent generic ballot leads. This positioning elevates Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries to 77.5% in the Speaker market, as he remains the caucus's unified choice following disciplined floor coordination in the current Congress. Lower Democratic probabilities for Katherine Clark and Pete Aguilar reflect their roles in leadership succession but limited expectation of a challenge. Republican candidates including Speaker Mike Johnson, Jim Jordan, and Steve Scalise sit below 8% each, consistent with the party's slim current margin and vulnerability in competitive districts ahead of November voting. Traders monitor upcoming primaries, redistricting outcomes, and late-cycle polling shifts that could alter control.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,534
結束日期
2027-01-03
市場開放時間
Apr 8, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Democrats hold a strong edge in 2026 House forecasts, with prediction platforms assigning them roughly 80-86% odds of securing a majority, driven by the historical midterm penalty for the president's party and consistent generic ballot leads. This positioning elevates Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries to 77.5% in the Speaker market, as he remains the caucus's unified choice following disciplined floor coordination in the current Congress. Lower Democratic probabilities for Katherine Clark and Pete Aguilar reflect their roles in leadership succession but limited expectation of a challenge. Republican candidates including Speaker Mike Johnson, Jim Jordan, and Steve Scalise sit below 8% each, consistent with the party's slim current margin and vulnerability in competitive districts ahead of November voting. Traders monitor upcoming primaries, redistricting outcomes, and late-cycle polling shifts that could alter control.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,534
結束日期
2027-01-03
市場開放時間
Apr 8, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Speaker of the House after the midterms?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Hakeem Jeffries" at 78%, followed by "Mike Johnson" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Speaker of the House after the midterms?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Speaker of the House after the midterms?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Speaker of the House after the midterms?" is "Hakeem Jeffries" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mike Johnson" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Speaker of the House after the midterms?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.