Georgia's 11th congressional district, encompassing northern Atlanta exurbs, carries a consistent Republican lean reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election margins exceeding 20 points. With incumbent Barry Loudermilk not seeking reelection, Republican nominee John Cowan prevailed in the May primary and June runoff, positioning the party to retain the seat in the November 2026 general election against Democrat Chris Harden. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican probability aligns with the district's structural advantages, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling shifts since primaries concluded. Factors that could narrow the margin include a significant national political realignment, late-cycle scandals affecting the nominee, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban precincts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$25,527 交易量
$25,527 交易量
2026-11-03
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
10%
$25,527 交易量
$25,527 交易量
2026-11-03
Republican Party
$19,039 交易量
91%
Democratic Party
$6,488 交易量
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 11th congressional district, encompassing northern Atlanta exurbs, carries a consistent Republican lean reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election margins exceeding 20 points. With incumbent Barry Loudermilk not seeking reelection, Republican nominee John Cowan prevailed in the May primary and June runoff, positioning the party to retain the seat in the November 2026 general election against Democrat Chris Harden. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican probability aligns with the district's structural advantages, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling shifts since primaries concluded. Factors that could narrow the margin include a significant national political realignment, late-cycle scandals affecting the nominee, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$25,527結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 11th congressional district, encompassing northern Atlanta exurbs, carries a consistent Republican lean reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election margins exceeding 20 points. With incumbent Barry Loudermilk not seeking reelection, Republican nominee John Cowan prevailed in the May primary and June runoff, positioning the party to retain the seat in the November 2026 general election against Democrat Chris Harden. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican probability aligns with the district's structural advantages, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling shifts since primaries concluded. Factors that could narrow the margin include a significant national political realignment, late-cycle scandals affecting the nominee, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$25,527結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 11th congressional district, encompassing northern Atlanta exurbs, carries a consistent Republican lean reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election margins exceeding 20 points. With incumbent Barry Loudermilk not seeking reelection, Republican nominee John Cowan prevailed in the May primary and June runoff, positioning the party to retain the seat in the November 2026 general election against Democrat Chris Harden. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican probability aligns with the district's structural advantages, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling shifts since primaries concluded. Factors that could narrow the margin include a significant national political realignment, late-cycle scandals affecting the nominee, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban precincts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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