Luz Rivas holds an overwhelming lead in trader consensus for the CA-29 House seat because she is the Democratic incumbent in a solidly Democratic San Fernando Valley district that rated Safe or Solid D across forecasters. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced only Rivas and challenger Angélica María Dueñas after Rivas captured roughly 51 percent of the vote to Dueñas’s 25 percent, with the Republican eliminated. Rivas’s fundraising edge exceeds 18-to-1, backed by broad establishment support and prior endorsements from the seat’s retiring predecessor. Dueñas’s limited resources and repeat-candidate status have produced little movement in the odds ahead of the November general election, where structural Democratic advantages and incumbency effects continue to dominate probability assessments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
Luz Rivas
89%
Angélica María Dueñas
5%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
Luz Rivas
$923 交易量
89%
Angélica María Dueñas
$262 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Luz Rivas holds an overwhelming lead in trader consensus for the CA-29 House seat because she is the Democratic incumbent in a solidly Democratic San Fernando Valley district that rated Safe or Solid D across forecasters. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced only Rivas and challenger Angélica María Dueñas after Rivas captured roughly 51 percent of the vote to Dueñas’s 25 percent, with the Republican eliminated. Rivas’s fundraising edge exceeds 18-to-1, backed by broad establishment support and prior endorsements from the seat’s retiring predecessor. Dueñas’s limited resources and repeat-candidate status have produced little movement in the odds ahead of the November general election, where structural Democratic advantages and incumbency effects continue to dominate probability assessments.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jul 9, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
交易量
$1,185結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 10:07 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Luz Rivas holds an overwhelming lead in trader consensus for the CA-29 House seat because she is the Democratic incumbent in a solidly Democratic San Fernando Valley district that rated Safe or Solid D across forecasters. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced only Rivas and challenger Angélica María Dueñas after Rivas captured roughly 51 percent of the vote to Dueñas’s 25 percent, with the Republican eliminated. Rivas’s fundraising edge exceeds 18-to-1, backed by broad establishment support and prior endorsements from the seat’s retiring predecessor. Dueñas’s limited resources and repeat-candidate status have produced little movement in the odds ahead of the November general election, where structural Democratic advantages and incumbency effects continue to dominate probability assessments.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,185結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 10:07 PM ETLuz Rivas holds an overwhelming lead in trader consensus for the CA-29 House seat because she is the Democratic incumbent in a solidly Democratic San Fernando Valley district that rated Safe or Solid D across forecasters. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced only Rivas and challenger Angélica María Dueñas after Rivas captured roughly 51 percent of the vote to Dueñas’s 25 percent, with the Republican eliminated. Rivas’s fundraising edge exceeds 18-to-1, backed by broad establishment support and prior endorsements from the seat’s retiring predecessor. Dueñas’s limited resources and repeat-candidate status have produced little movement in the odds ahead of the November general election, where structural Democratic advantages and incumbency effects continue to dominate probability assessments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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