The IA-01 House race features a rematch between incumbent Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Democratic challenger Christina Bohannan, both of whom secured their party nominations in the June 2 primaries. The seat's narrow 2024 result and toss-up rating from forecasters reflect its status as one of the most competitive districts, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+4. Midterm election dynamics, including historical patterns of the opposition party gaining ground, appear to underpin the market's Democratic edge at 72.5%. Upcoming general election developments, such as polling shifts or campaign fundraising, could influence trader assessments through November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主黨
73%
共和黨
28%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主黨
$2,597 交易量
73%
共和黨
$2,390 交易量
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The IA-01 House race features a rematch between incumbent Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Democratic challenger Christina Bohannan, both of whom secured their party nominations in the June 2 primaries. The seat's narrow 2024 result and toss-up rating from forecasters reflect its status as one of the most competitive districts, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+4. Midterm election dynamics, including historical patterns of the opposition party gaining ground, appear to underpin the market's Democratic edge at 72.5%. Upcoming general election developments, such as polling shifts or campaign fundraising, could influence trader assessments through November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ET
交易量
$4,987結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The IA-01 House race features a rematch between incumbent Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Democratic challenger Christina Bohannan, both of whom secured their party nominations in the June 2 primaries. The seat's narrow 2024 result and toss-up rating from forecasters reflect its status as one of the most competitive districts, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+4. Midterm election dynamics, including historical patterns of the opposition party gaining ground, appear to underpin the market's Democratic edge at 72.5%. Upcoming general election developments, such as polling shifts or campaign fundraising, could influence trader assessments through November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$4,987結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The IA-01 House race features a rematch between incumbent Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Democratic challenger Christina Bohannan, both of whom secured their party nominations in the June 2 primaries. The seat's narrow 2024 result and toss-up rating from forecasters reflect its status as one of the most competitive districts, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+4. Midterm election dynamics, including historical patterns of the opposition party gaining ground, appear to underpin the market's Democratic edge at 72.5%. Upcoming general election developments, such as polling shifts or campaign fundraising, could influence trader assessments through November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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