Seth Magaziner’s strong position as the Democratic incumbent in Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District reflects the district’s partisan lean and his prior electoral success in a D+4 environment. Recent developments include Magaziner’s unopposed Democratic primary victory on September 9 and Republican nominee Victor Mellor’s primary win over Stephen Skoly, funded largely by self-contributions exceeding $3 million. Mellor’s participation in the January 6 Capitol events and prior registration as a foreign agent for Cuba have drawn immediate criticism from Magaziner and law enforcement figures, reinforcing trader consensus on the limited viability of the Republican challenge ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$46,233 交易量
$46,233 交易量
2026-11-02
賽斯·馬加齊納（民主黨）
98%
Victor Mellor（共和黨）
2%
$46,233 交易量
$46,233 交易量
2026-11-02
賽斯·馬加齊納（民主黨）
$18,995 交易量
98%
Victor Mellor（共和黨）
$27,238 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Seth Magaziner’s strong position as the Democratic incumbent in Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District reflects the district’s partisan lean and his prior electoral success in a D+4 environment. Recent developments include Magaziner’s unopposed Democratic primary victory on September 9 and Republican nominee Victor Mellor’s primary win over Stephen Skoly, funded largely by self-contributions exceeding $3 million. Mellor’s participation in the January 6 Capitol events and prior registration as a foreign agent for Cuba have drawn immediate criticism from Magaziner and law enforcement figures, reinforcing trader consensus on the limited viability of the Republican challenge ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$46,233結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Seth Magaziner’s strong position as the Democratic incumbent in Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District reflects the district’s partisan lean and his prior electoral success in a D+4 environment. Recent developments include Magaziner’s unopposed Democratic primary victory on September 9 and Republican nominee Victor Mellor’s primary win over Stephen Skoly, funded largely by self-contributions exceeding $3 million. Mellor’s participation in the January 6 Capitol events and prior registration as a foreign agent for Cuba have drawn immediate criticism from Magaziner and law enforcement figures, reinforcing trader consensus on the limited viability of the Republican challenge ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$46,233結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETSeth Magaziner’s strong position as the Democratic incumbent in Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District reflects the district’s partisan lean and his prior electoral success in a D+4 environment. Recent developments include Magaziner’s unopposed Democratic primary victory on September 9 and Republican nominee Victor Mellor’s primary win over Stephen Skoly, funded largely by self-contributions exceeding $3 million. Mellor’s participation in the January 6 Capitol events and prior registration as a foreign agent for Cuba have drawn immediate criticism from Magaziner and law enforcement figures, reinforcing trader consensus on the limited viability of the Republican challenge ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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