Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley holds a strong position in New York's 19th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election after flipping the seat in 2024. Riley secured the Democratic nomination without primary opposition, while Republican state Sen. Peter Oberacker emerged from his party's June 23 contest to challenge him. The district's narrow Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index, combined with Riley's incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 89.5 percent. Recent nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Lean or Likely Democratic, though the seat's history of narrow margins leaves room for shifts driven by turnout patterns or national midterm dynamics through the fall campaign.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主黨
90%
共和黨
10%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主黨
$2,341 交易量
90%
共和黨
$2,766 交易量
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley holds a strong position in New York's 19th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election after flipping the seat in 2024. Riley secured the Democratic nomination without primary opposition, while Republican state Sen. Peter Oberacker emerged from his party's June 23 contest to challenge him. The district's narrow Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index, combined with Riley's incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 89.5 percent. Recent nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Lean or Likely Democratic, though the seat's history of narrow margins leaves room for shifts driven by turnout patterns or national midterm dynamics through the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
交易量
$5,106結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley holds a strong position in New York's 19th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election after flipping the seat in 2024. Riley secured the Democratic nomination without primary opposition, while Republican state Sen. Peter Oberacker emerged from his party's June 23 contest to challenge him. The district's narrow Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index, combined with Riley's incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 89.5 percent. Recent nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Lean or Likely Democratic, though the seat's history of narrow margins leaves room for shifts driven by turnout patterns or national midterm dynamics through the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,106結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley holds a strong position in New York's 19th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election after flipping the seat in 2024. Riley secured the Democratic nomination without primary opposition, while Republican state Sen. Peter Oberacker emerged from his party's June 23 contest to challenge him. The district's narrow Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index, combined with Riley's incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 89.5 percent. Recent nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Lean or Likely Democratic, though the seat's history of narrow margins leaves room for shifts driven by turnout patterns or national midterm dynamics through the fall campaign.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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