Trader consensus heavily favors Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan at 80% implied probability to win the August 11 Democratic Senate primary for the open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Tina Smith, driven by a May PPP poll showing her leading Rep. Angie Craig 44%-33% among likely Democratic primary voters, expanding to a 55%-25% margin after messaging on records. Flanagan's edge stems from her progressive credentials, rejection of corporate PAC money, 57%-9% favorability, and fresh endorsements including Rep. Ilhan Omar on May 12 and Sen. Tina Smith. Craig trails at 17.5% despite fundraising leads, hampered by voter backlash over her initial Laken Riley Act vote amid heated immigration debates from Operation Metro Surge. Other candidates remain negligible as the race consolidates ahead of DFL conventions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於佩吉·弗拉納根 81%
安吉·克雷格 18%
雅各布·弗雷 <1%
貝蒂·麥考拉姆 <1%
$47,040 交易量
$47,040 交易量
佩吉·弗拉納根
81%
安吉·克雷格
18%
雅各布·弗雷
<1%
貝蒂·麥考拉姆
<1%
伊爾汗·奧馬爾
<1%
梅麗莎·洛佩茲·弗蘭岑
<1%
基思·埃里森
<1%
Steve Simon
<1%
梅麗莎·霍特曼
<1%
David Wellstone
<1%
佩吉·弗拉納根 81%
安吉·克雷格 18%
雅各布·弗雷 <1%
貝蒂·麥考拉姆 <1%
$47,040 交易量
$47,040 交易量
佩吉·弗拉納根
81%
安吉·克雷格
18%
雅各布·弗雷
<1%
貝蒂·麥考拉姆
<1%
伊爾汗·奧馬爾
<1%
梅麗莎·洛佩茲·弗蘭岑
<1%
基思·埃里森
<1%
Steve Simon
<1%
梅麗莎·霍特曼
<1%
David Wellstone
<1%
If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市場開放時間: Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan at 80% implied probability to win the August 11 Democratic Senate primary for the open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Tina Smith, driven by a May PPP poll showing her leading Rep. Angie Craig 44%-33% among likely Democratic primary voters, expanding to a 55%-25% margin after messaging on records. Flanagan's edge stems from her progressive credentials, rejection of corporate PAC money, 57%-9% favorability, and fresh endorsements including Rep. Ilhan Omar on May 12 and Sen. Tina Smith. Craig trails at 17.5% despite fundraising leads, hampered by voter backlash over her initial Laken Riley Act vote amid heated immigration debates from Operation Metro Surge. Other candidates remain negligible as the race consolidates ahead of DFL conventions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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