Former ESPN sideline reporter Michele Tafoya leads trader consensus at 77.5% implied probability for the Minnesota Republican U.S. Senate primary, driven by her 30-point polling edge in recent surveys and unmatched first-quarter fundraising exceeding $1.8 million cash on hand—more than all rivals combined—bolstering her name recognition and general election viability against Democrats. Navy SEAL veteran Adam Schwarze trails at 15%, drawing activist support amid debates over the state GOP endorsement convention, where historical precedent favors endorsees in open primaries. With the August 11 primary approaching, Tafoya's outsider appeal and fiscal discipline have solidified her frontrunner status, though base turnout could narrow the gap.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於米歇爾·塔福亞 78%
亞當·施瓦茨 14.5%
麥克·魯奧霍 2.5%
羅伊斯·懷特 1.4%
$82,979 交易量
$82,979 交易量
米歇爾·塔福亞
78%
亞當·施瓦茨
14%
麥克·魯奧霍
2%
羅伊斯·懷特
1%
艾莉西亞·格倫哈根
1%
大衛·漢恩
1%
朱莉婭·科爾曼
<1%
Christopher Brooks
<1%
吉姆·納許
<1%
Tom Weiler
<1%
Kristin Robbins
<1%
雷蒙德·彼得森
<1%
米歇爾·塔福亞 78%
亞當·施瓦茨 14.5%
麥克·魯奧霍 2.5%
羅伊斯·懷特 1.4%
$82,979 交易量
$82,979 交易量
米歇爾·塔福亞
78%
亞當·施瓦茨
14%
麥克·魯奧霍
2%
羅伊斯·懷特
1%
艾莉西亞·格倫哈根
1%
大衛·漢恩
1%
朱莉婭·科爾曼
<1%
Christopher Brooks
<1%
吉姆·納許
<1%
Tom Weiler
<1%
Kristin Robbins
<1%
雷蒙德·彼得森
<1%
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市場開放時間: Dec 2, 2025, 3:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former ESPN sideline reporter Michele Tafoya leads trader consensus at 77.5% implied probability for the Minnesota Republican U.S. Senate primary, driven by her 30-point polling edge in recent surveys and unmatched first-quarter fundraising exceeding $1.8 million cash on hand—more than all rivals combined—bolstering her name recognition and general election viability against Democrats. Navy SEAL veteran Adam Schwarze trails at 15%, drawing activist support amid debates over the state GOP endorsement convention, where historical precedent favors endorsees in open primaries. With the August 11 primary approaching, Tafoya's outsider appeal and fiscal discipline have solidified her frontrunner status, though base turnout could narrow the gap.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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