Skip to main content

如需在美國交易，請前往 polymarket.us

icon for 在GA-04眾議院選舉中首輪大勝？
政治·中期

在GA-04眾議院選舉中首輪大勝？

icon for 在GA-04眾議院選舉中首輪大勝？
政治·中期

在GA-04眾議院選舉中首輪大勝？

是

95% 機率
Polymarket
最新

是

95% 機率
Polymarket
最新
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-04 House election.In Georgia’s 4th congressional district, a heavily Democratic seat with a Cook PVI of D+27, incumbent Hank Johnson secured the Democratic nomination on May 19, 2026, with 79.3% of the primary vote against two challengers, avoiding any runoff. Republican nominee James Duffie ran unopposed in his primary. The district’s consistent partisan lean, Johnson’s prior 51-point general-election margin in 2024, and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Safe or Solid Democratic underpin trader expectations that the November 3 general election will produce a clear majority winner. No significant late-cycle developments have altered this positioning ahead of election day.

The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-04 House election.The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-04 House election.
交易量
$1,536
結束日期
2027-04-01
市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-04 House election.In Georgia’s 4th congressional district, a heavily Democratic seat with a Cook PVI of D+27, incumbent Hank Johnson secured the Democratic nomination on May 19, 2026, with 79.3% of the primary vote against two challengers, avoiding any runoff. Republican nominee James Duffie ran unopposed in his primary. The district’s consistent partisan lean, Johnson’s prior 51-point general-election margin in 2024, and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Safe or Solid Democratic underpin trader expectations that the November 3 general election will produce a clear majority winner. No significant late-cycle developments have altered this positioning ahead of election day.

The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-04 House election.The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-04 House election.
交易量
$1,536
結束日期
2027-04-01
市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...

相關

icon for GA-06眾議院選舉首輪直接勝出者是誰？

GA-06眾議院選舉首輪直接勝出者是誰？

97%
是
icon for GA-03眾議院選舉首輪直接獲勝者是誰？

GA-03眾議院選舉首輪直接獲勝者是誰？

65%
是
icon for 第一輪喬治亞州第七國會選區眾議院選舉的直接獲勝者是誰？

第一輪喬治亞州第七國會選區眾議院選舉的直接獲勝者是誰？

100%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"在GA-04眾議院選舉中首輪大勝？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "GA-04國會選舉第一輪直接獲勝者？" at 95%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"在GA-04眾議院選舉中首輪大勝？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "在GA-04眾議院選舉中首輪大勝？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "在GA-04眾議院選舉中首輪大勝？" is "GA-04國會選舉第一輪直接獲勝者？" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "在GA-04眾議院選舉中首輪大勝？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.