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政治·主要

新罕布什爾州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

icon for 新罕布什爾州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者
政治·主要

新罕布什爾州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

$12,678 交易量

Polymarket

$12,678 交易量

克里斯·帕帕斯

$7,973 交易量

91%

Karishma Manzur

$4,705 交易量

4%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Congressman Chris Pappas holds a commanding lead in the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary due to his incumbency as the state's first-district representative since 2018, established moderate record on key votes, and substantial fundraising edge over challenger Karishma Manzur. Recent University of New Hampshire polling from April shows him ahead by more than 40 points among likely Democratic primary voters, underscoring his name recognition and broad party support ahead of the September 8, 2026, contest to succeed retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen. Manzur, a political newcomer and medical scientist emphasizing progressive priorities, has mounted a grassroots effort but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these structural advantages while leaving room for shifts from unexpected endorsements, turnout surges in specific counties, or late-breaking developments before the primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$12,678
結束日期
2026-09-08
市場開放時間
Nov 26, 2025, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Congressman Chris Pappas holds a commanding lead in the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary due to his incumbency as the state's first-district representative since 2018, established moderate record on key votes, and substantial fundraising edge over challenger Karishma Manzur. Recent University of New Hampshire polling from April shows him ahead by more than 40 points among likely Democratic primary voters, underscoring his name recognition and broad party support ahead of the September 8, 2026, contest to succeed retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen. Manzur, a political newcomer and medical scientist emphasizing progressive priorities, has mounted a grassroots effort but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these structural advantages while leaving room for shifts from unexpected endorsements, turnout surges in specific counties, or late-breaking developments before the primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$12,678
結束日期
2026-09-08
市場開放時間
Nov 26, 2025, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"新罕布什爾州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "克里斯·帕帕斯" at 91%, followed by "Karishma Manzur" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "新罕布什爾州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $12.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "新罕布什爾州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "新罕布什爾州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "克里斯·帕帕斯" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Karishma Manzur" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "新罕布什爾州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.