The Democratic vice-presidential nomination for 2028 remains unusually fragmented, with no single contender establishing a durable lead. Traders appear to be pricing in the absence of a clear presidential frontrunner more than two years before the convention, leaving room for senators, governors, and other figures whose profiles could provide regional, demographic, or ideological balance on a future ticket. Recent polling averages and early fundraising reports show no dominant candidate emerging from the 2024 cycle, keeping multiple options clustered within a few percentage points. Any consolidation would likely require concrete signals such as strong midterm performances, formal endorsements from party leaders, or visible positioning ahead of the first primaries. Until then, the market continues to reflect broad uncertainty over who will ultimately be selected.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Cory Booker 19.5%
Barack Obama 19.4%
James Talarico 19.2%
Raphael Warnock 17.6%
$14,351 交易量
$14,351 交易量
Gavin Newsom
7%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
22%
Pete Buttigieg
21%
Josh Shapiro
2%
Wes Moore
21%
Stephen A. Smith
4%
Kamala Harris
12%
Gretchen Whitmer
10%
Andy Beshear
3%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Mark Cuban
4%
J.B. Pritzker
11%
Raphael Warnock
18%
Cory Booker
19%
Tim Walz
4%
Michelle Obama
13%
Mark Kelly
2%
Rahm Emanuel
11%
Gina Raimondo
1%
Zohran Mamdani
17%
Roy Cooper
1%
John Fetterman
1%
Jared Polis
5%
Jon Stewart
<1%
Barack Obama
19%
Hillary Clinton
4%
Liz Cheney
4%
Bernie Sanders
9%
Phil Murphy
6%
LeBron James
1%
Hunter Biden
1%
George Clooney
17%
Chelsea Clinton
15%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
7%
Oprah Winfrey
14%
Andrew Yang
4%
Beto O’Rourke
13%
Kim Kardashian
15%
Chris Murphy
<1%
Ruben Gallego
7%
Ro Khanna
11%
James Talarico
19%
Elissa Slotkin
16%
Cory Booker 19.5%
Barack Obama 19.4%
James Talarico 19.2%
Raphael Warnock 17.6%
$14,351 交易量
$14,351 交易量
Gavin Newsom
7%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
22%
Pete Buttigieg
21%
Josh Shapiro
2%
Wes Moore
21%
Stephen A. Smith
4%
Kamala Harris
12%
Gretchen Whitmer
10%
Andy Beshear
3%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Mark Cuban
4%
J.B. Pritzker
11%
Raphael Warnock
18%
Cory Booker
19%
Tim Walz
4%
Michelle Obama
13%
Mark Kelly
2%
Rahm Emanuel
11%
Gina Raimondo
1%
Zohran Mamdani
17%
Roy Cooper
1%
John Fetterman
1%
Jared Polis
5%
Jon Stewart
<1%
Barack Obama
19%
Hillary Clinton
4%
Liz Cheney
4%
Bernie Sanders
9%
Phil Murphy
6%
LeBron James
1%
Hunter Biden
1%
George Clooney
17%
Chelsea Clinton
15%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
7%
Oprah Winfrey
14%
Andrew Yang
4%
Beto O’Rourke
13%
Kim Kardashian
15%
Chris Murphy
<1%
Ruben Gallego
7%
Ro Khanna
11%
James Talarico
19%
Elissa Slotkin
16%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市場開放時間: Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Democratic vice-presidential nomination for 2028 remains unusually fragmented, with no single contender establishing a durable lead. Traders appear to be pricing in the absence of a clear presidential frontrunner more than two years before the convention, leaving room for senators, governors, and other figures whose profiles could provide regional, demographic, or ideological balance on a future ticket. Recent polling averages and early fundraising reports show no dominant candidate emerging from the 2024 cycle, keeping multiple options clustered within a few percentage points. Any consolidation would likely require concrete signals such as strong midterm performances, formal endorsements from party leaders, or visible positioning ahead of the first primaries. Until then, the market continues to reflect broad uncertainty over who will ultimately be selected.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions