Traders assign a 67% probability that the 2028 Democratic nominee will not be a woman due to a fragmented field where male candidates such as Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, Pete Buttigieg, and Josh Shapiro collectively hold substantial implied support in prediction markets and early polling. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Kamala Harris lead or place near the top in several surveys and markets, yet no single woman has consolidated a majority or dominant position ahead of the 2028 primaries. Recent DNC calendar adjustments prioritizing South Carolina have not produced a clear gender-based shift, while the broad array of viable male contenders from Senate and gubernatorial ranks sustains the current trader consensus reflected in the odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
33% 機率
最新
最新
2028-11-07
是
33% 機率
最新
最新
2028-11-07
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Traders assign a 67% probability that the 2028 Democratic nominee will not be a woman due to a fragmented field where male candidates such as Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, Pete Buttigieg, and Josh Shapiro collectively hold substantial implied support in prediction markets and early polling. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Kamala Harris lead or place near the top in several surveys and markets, yet no single woman has consolidated a majority or dominant position ahead of the 2028 primaries. Recent DNC calendar adjustments prioritizing South Carolina have not produced a clear gender-based shift, while the broad array of viable male contenders from Senate and gubernatorial ranks sustains the current trader consensus reflected in the odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市場開放時間： Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
交易量
$3,883結束日期
2028-11-07市場開放時間
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Traders assign a 67% probability that the 2028 Democratic nominee will not be a woman due to a fragmented field where male candidates such as Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, Pete Buttigieg, and Josh Shapiro collectively hold substantial implied support in prediction markets and early polling. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Kamala Harris lead or place near the top in several surveys and markets, yet no single woman has consolidated a majority or dominant position ahead of the 2028 primaries. Recent DNC calendar adjustments prioritizing South Carolina have not produced a clear gender-based shift, while the broad array of viable male contenders from Senate and gubernatorial ranks sustains the current trader consensus reflected in the odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$3,883結束日期
2028-11-07市場開放時間
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 67% probability that the 2028 Democratic nominee will not be a woman due to a fragmented field where male candidates such as Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, Pete Buttigieg, and Josh Shapiro collectively hold substantial implied support in prediction markets and early polling. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Kamala Harris lead or place near the top in several surveys and markets, yet no single woman has consolidated a majority or dominant position ahead of the 2028 primaries. Recent DNC calendar adjustments prioritizing South Carolina have not produced a clear gender-based shift, while the broad array of viable male contenders from Senate and gubernatorial ranks sustains the current trader consensus reflected in the odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions