**No at 73%** reflects the early 2028 field dynamics, where Republican frontrunner JD Vance holds strong positioning as the likely nominee following Donald Trump’s term-limited exit, while Democratic contenders remain fragmented. Kamala Harris leads some early national primary polls but trails in general-election betting markets after her 2024 loss, with male alternatives such as Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Jon Ossoff drawing comparable or greater support on electability grounds. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has shown strength in certain state-level surveys but faces broader questions about crossover appeal. Republican primary polling consistently favors men, and historical patterns of major-party nominations plus the absence of a dominant female general-election favorite sustain the current trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
28% 機率
$13,151 交易量
$13,151 交易量
2028-11-06
是
28% 機率
$13,151 交易量
$13,151 交易量
2028-11-06
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.**No at 73%** reflects the early 2028 field dynamics, where Republican frontrunner JD Vance holds strong positioning as the likely nominee following Donald Trump’s term-limited exit, while Democratic contenders remain fragmented. Kamala Harris leads some early national primary polls but trails in general-election betting markets after her 2024 loss, with male alternatives such as Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Jon Ossoff drawing comparable or greater support on electability grounds. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has shown strength in certain state-level surveys but faces broader questions about crossover appeal. Republican primary polling consistently favors men, and historical patterns of major-party nominations plus the absence of a dominant female general-election favorite sustain the current trader consensus.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
市場開放時間： Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
交易量
$13,151結束日期
2028-11-07市場開放時間
Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.**No at 73%** reflects the early 2028 field dynamics, where Republican frontrunner JD Vance holds strong positioning as the likely nominee following Donald Trump’s term-limited exit, while Democratic contenders remain fragmented. Kamala Harris leads some early national primary polls but trails in general-election betting markets after her 2024 loss, with male alternatives such as Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Jon Ossoff drawing comparable or greater support on electability grounds. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has shown strength in certain state-level surveys but faces broader questions about crossover appeal. Republican primary polling consistently favors men, and historical patterns of major-party nominations plus the absence of a dominant female general-election favorite sustain the current trader consensus.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
交易量
$13,151結束日期
2028-11-07市場開放時間
Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**No at 73%** reflects the early 2028 field dynamics, where Republican frontrunner JD Vance holds strong positioning as the likely nominee following Donald Trump’s term-limited exit, while Democratic contenders remain fragmented. Kamala Harris leads some early national primary polls but trails in general-election betting markets after her 2024 loss, with male alternatives such as Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Jon Ossoff drawing comparable or greater support on electability grounds. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has shown strength in certain state-level surveys but faces broader questions about crossover appeal. Republican primary polling consistently favors men, and historical patterns of major-party nominations plus the absence of a dominant female general-election favorite sustain the current trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions