Byron Donalds maintains a commanding lead in Florida's Republican gubernatorial primary, scheduled for August 18, 2026, following Ron DeSantis's term limit exit. Trump's early endorsement, combined with Donalds's strong fundraising and name recognition as a sitting U.S. representative, has consolidated much of the field. Recent polls from July and early August place him between 43% and 50%, with Lt. Gov. Jay Collins, James Fishback, and others trailing in single or low double digits and substantial undecided voters remaining. This positioning keeps Donalds's exact vote share in a narrow band, sustaining trader focus on outcomes near 40%+ amid fragmented opposition and limited time for late shifts before primary voting concludes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Donalds 40%+ 45%
Donalds 35–40% 30%
Donalds 30–35% 16%
Donalds 25–30% 3.5%
$18,194 交易量
$18,194 交易量
2026-08-18
Donalds 40%+
45%
Donalds 35–40%
30%
Donalds 30–35%
16%
Donalds 25–30%
4%
Donalds 20–25%
3%
唐納茲15–20%
3%
唐納茲 10–15%
1%
唐納茲 5–10%
3%
唐納茲少於5%
1%
柯林斯勝出
1%
費什貝克獲勝
1%
Donalds 40%+ 45%
Donalds 35–40% 30%
Donalds 30–35% 16%
Donalds 25–30% 3.5%
$18,194 交易量
$18,194 交易量
2026-08-18
Donalds 40%+
$8,815 交易量
45%
Donalds 35–40%
$5,407 交易量
30%
Donalds 30–35%
$690 交易量
16%
Donalds 25–30%
$436 交易量
4%
Donalds 20–25%
$426 交易量
3%
唐納茲15–20%
$438 交易量
3%
唐納茲 10–15%
$378 交易量
1%
唐納茲 5–10%
$361 交易量
3%
唐納茲少於5%
$315 交易量
1%
柯林斯勝出
$466 交易量
1%
費什貝克獲勝
$463 交易量
1%
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Byron Donalds maintains a commanding lead in Florida's Republican gubernatorial primary, scheduled for August 18, 2026, following Ron DeSantis's term limit exit. Trump's early endorsement, combined with Donalds's strong fundraising and name recognition as a sitting U.S. representative, has consolidated much of the field. Recent polls from July and early August place him between 43% and 50%, with Lt. Gov. Jay Collins, James Fishback, and others trailing in single or low double digits and substantial undecided voters remaining. This positioning keeps Donalds's exact vote share in a narrow band, sustaining trader focus on outcomes near 40%+ amid fragmented opposition and limited time for late shifts before primary voting concludes.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
交易量
$18,194結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 2:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Byron Donalds maintains a commanding lead in Florida's Republican gubernatorial primary, scheduled for August 18, 2026, following Ron DeSantis's term limit exit. Trump's early endorsement, combined with Donalds's strong fundraising and name recognition as a sitting U.S. representative, has consolidated much of the field. Recent polls from July and early August place him between 43% and 50%, with Lt. Gov. Jay Collins, James Fishback, and others trailing in single or low double digits and substantial undecided voters remaining. This positioning keeps Donalds's exact vote share in a narrow band, sustaining trader focus on outcomes near 40%+ amid fragmented opposition and limited time for late shifts before primary voting concludes.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$18,194結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 2:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Byron Donalds maintains a commanding lead in Florida's Republican gubernatorial primary, scheduled for August 18, 2026, following Ron DeSantis's term limit exit. Trump's early endorsement, combined with Donalds's strong fundraising and name recognition as a sitting U.S. representative, has consolidated much of the field. Recent polls from July and early August place him between 43% and 50%, with Lt. Gov. Jay Collins, James Fishback, and others trailing in single or low double digits and substantial undecided voters remaining. This positioning keeps Donalds's exact vote share in a narrow band, sustaining trader focus on outcomes near 40%+ amid fragmented opposition and limited time for late shifts before primary voting concludes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions