Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor benefits from strong name recognition and the district's longstanding Democratic lean under the 2026 redrawn map, positioning the party as the market favorite at 59%. The canceled Democratic primary allows her to focus resources on the general election, while a crowded Republican primary on August 18 features multiple contenders with polls showing a fluid race among leading candidates. Recent hypothetical general election surveys indicate Castor maintaining an edge, though the broader midterm environment and legal challenges to Florida's congressional boundaries introduce uncertainty ahead of the November vote. Trader pricing reflects these structural and timing factors.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$30,692 交易量
$30,692 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
60%
共和黨
40%
$30,692 交易量
$30,692 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$15,247 交易量
60%
共和黨
$15,445 交易量
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor benefits from strong name recognition and the district's longstanding Democratic lean under the 2026 redrawn map, positioning the party as the market favorite at 59%. The canceled Democratic primary allows her to focus resources on the general election, while a crowded Republican primary on August 18 features multiple contenders with polls showing a fluid race among leading candidates. Recent hypothetical general election surveys indicate Castor maintaining an edge, though the broader midterm environment and legal challenges to Florida's congressional boundaries introduce uncertainty ahead of the November vote. Trader pricing reflects these structural and timing factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
交易量
$30,692結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor benefits from strong name recognition and the district's longstanding Democratic lean under the 2026 redrawn map, positioning the party as the market favorite at 59%. The canceled Democratic primary allows her to focus resources on the general election, while a crowded Republican primary on August 18 features multiple contenders with polls showing a fluid race among leading candidates. Recent hypothetical general election surveys indicate Castor maintaining an edge, though the broader midterm environment and legal challenges to Florida's congressional boundaries introduce uncertainty ahead of the November vote. Trader pricing reflects these structural and timing factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$30,692結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor benefits from strong name recognition and the district's longstanding Democratic lean under the 2026 redrawn map, positioning the party as the market favorite at 59%. The canceled Democratic primary allows her to focus resources on the general election, while a crowded Republican primary on August 18 features multiple contenders with polls showing a fluid race among leading candidates. Recent hypothetical general election surveys indicate Castor maintaining an edge, though the broader midterm environment and legal challenges to Florida's congressional boundaries introduce uncertainty ahead of the November vote. Trader pricing reflects these structural and timing factors.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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