Molly Gray holds an 81.5% implied probability in the Vermont lieutenant governor race as the Democratic nominee facing Republican incumbent John S. Rodgers, who sits at 17%. Gray secured her party’s nomination in the August 11 primary with roughly 61% of the vote against two challengers, drawing on her prior term in the office and recent work leading the Vermont Afghan Alliance. Rodgers advanced unopposed on the Republican side after switching parties for his initial 2024 bid. Vermont’s consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests, combined with Gray’s name recognition and emphasis on state issues such as housing and healthcare, underpins trader consensus. The general election on November 3 leaves limited time for major shifts absent significant new polling or developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
莫莉·格雷（民主黨）
82%
約翰·S·羅傑斯（共和黨）
18%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
莫莉·格雷（民主黨）
$2,712 交易量
82%
約翰·S·羅傑斯（共和黨）
$2,454 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Molly Gray holds an 81.5% implied probability in the Vermont lieutenant governor race as the Democratic nominee facing Republican incumbent John S. Rodgers, who sits at 17%. Gray secured her party’s nomination in the August 11 primary with roughly 61% of the vote against two challengers, drawing on her prior term in the office and recent work leading the Vermont Afghan Alliance. Rodgers advanced unopposed on the Republican side after switching parties for his initial 2024 bid. Vermont’s consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests, combined with Gray’s name recognition and emphasis on state issues such as housing and healthcare, underpins trader consensus. The general election on November 3 leaves limited time for major shifts absent significant new polling or developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
交易量
$5,167結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 2:02 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Molly Gray holds an 81.5% implied probability in the Vermont lieutenant governor race as the Democratic nominee facing Republican incumbent John S. Rodgers, who sits at 17%. Gray secured her party’s nomination in the August 11 primary with roughly 61% of the vote against two challengers, drawing on her prior term in the office and recent work leading the Vermont Afghan Alliance. Rodgers advanced unopposed on the Republican side after switching parties for his initial 2024 bid. Vermont’s consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests, combined with Gray’s name recognition and emphasis on state issues such as housing and healthcare, underpins trader consensus. The general election on November 3 leaves limited time for major shifts absent significant new polling or developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
交易量
$5,167結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 2:02 PM ETMolly Gray holds an 81.5% implied probability in the Vermont lieutenant governor race as the Democratic nominee facing Republican incumbent John S. Rodgers, who sits at 17%. Gray secured her party’s nomination in the August 11 primary with roughly 61% of the vote against two challengers, drawing on her prior term in the office and recent work leading the Vermont Afghan Alliance. Rodgers advanced unopposed on the Republican side after switching parties for his initial 2024 bid. Vermont’s consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests, combined with Gray’s name recognition and emphasis on state issues such as housing and healthcare, underpins trader consensus. The general election on November 3 leaves limited time for major shifts absent significant new polling or developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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