Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary, positioning him as the frontrunner in this solidly Republican state through established party infrastructure and voter base loyalty. Independent Dan Osborn maintains notable support as a union leader and Navy veteran whose 2024 near-upset against Deb Fischer demonstrated crossover appeal among working-class and unaffiliated voters, sustaining the implied probability near 38 percent. The Democratic nominee trails far behind at roughly 3.5 percent after minimal primary turnout and limited resources. Traders weigh Ricketts's incumbency advantage against Osborn's signature-gathering effort for ballot access and potential for a narrow general-election contest on November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於共和黨 59%
獨立候選人 38%
民主黨 3.5%
$113,425 交易量
$113,425 交易量

共和黨
59%

獨立候選人
38%

民主黨
4%
共和黨 59%
獨立候選人 38%
民主黨 3.5%
$113,425 交易量
$113,425 交易量

共和黨
59%

獨立候選人
38%

民主黨
4%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary, positioning him as the frontrunner in this solidly Republican state through established party infrastructure and voter base loyalty. Independent Dan Osborn maintains notable support as a union leader and Navy veteran whose 2024 near-upset against Deb Fischer demonstrated crossover appeal among working-class and unaffiliated voters, sustaining the implied probability near 38 percent. The Democratic nominee trails far behind at roughly 3.5 percent after minimal primary turnout and limited resources. Traders weigh Ricketts's incumbency advantage against Osborn's signature-gathering effort for ballot access and potential for a narrow general-election contest on November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions