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icon for CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)
政治·中期

CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)

icon for CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)
政治·中期

CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)

Polymarket

$18,325 交易量

Polymarket

$18,325 交易量

多麗絲·松井

$6,258 交易量

60%

邁·黃

$12,067 交易量

39%

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Doris Matsui holds a modest edge over Mai Vang in the November general election for California's 7th congressional district, reflecting trader views on the incumbent's name recognition and institutional experience against a progressive challenger in a solidly Democratic seat. Matsui advanced alongside Vang after the June top-two primary, where the Sacramento city council member narrowly led early returns in an intraparty contest framed around generational turnover, corporate PAC funding, and constituent access. The district's safe Democratic rating limits Republican influence, keeping the outcome dependent on turnout among Democratic voters, recent fundraising patterns, and any late endorsements or debates that could shift preferences before Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,325
結束日期
2026-11-04
市場開放時間
Jul 6, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Doris Matsui holds a modest edge over Mai Vang in the November general election for California's 7th congressional district, reflecting trader views on the incumbent's name recognition and institutional experience against a progressive challenger in a solidly Democratic seat. Matsui advanced alongside Vang after the June top-two primary, where the Sacramento city council member narrowly led early returns in an intraparty contest framed around generational turnover, corporate PAC funding, and constituent access. The district's safe Democratic rating limits Republican influence, keeping the outcome dependent on turnout among Democratic voters, recent fundraising patterns, and any late endorsements or debates that could shift preferences before Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,325
結束日期
2026-11-04
市場開放時間
Jul 6, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "多麗絲·松井" at 60%, followed by "邁·黃" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)" has generated $18.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)" is "多麗絲·松井" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "邁·黃" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.