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icon for 巴西總統選舉第一輪：巴拉那州第一名
選舉·主要選舉

巴西總統選舉第一輪：巴拉那州第一名

icon for 巴西總統選舉第一輪：巴拉那州第一名
選舉·主要選舉

巴西總統選舉第一輪：巴拉那州第一名

弗拉維奧·波索納羅 70%

澤馬 21.9%

羅納爾多·凱亞多 17%

魯拉 17%

Polymarket
最新

弗拉維奧·波索納羅 70%

澤馬 21.9%

羅納爾多·凱亞多 17%

魯拉 17%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 弗拉維奧·波索納羅

弗拉維奧·波索納羅

$201 交易量

70%

icon for 澤馬

澤馬

$47 交易量

22%

icon for 羅納爾多·凱亞多

羅納爾多·凱亞多

$47 交易量

17%

icon for 魯拉

魯拉

$47 交易量

17%

icon for 作家奧古斯托·庫里

作家奧古斯托·庫里

$47 交易量

16%

icon for 赫茲·迪亞斯

赫茲·迪亞斯

$47 交易量

16%

icon for 克拉麗安娜·巴拉奧

克拉麗安娜·巴拉奧

$47 交易量

16%

icon for 雷南·桑托斯

雷南·桑托斯

$47 交易量

16%

icon for 埃德米爾森·科斯塔

埃德米爾森·科斯塔

$47 交易量

14%

icon for 魯伊·科斯塔·皮門塔

魯伊·科斯塔·皮門塔

$47 交易量

10%

icon for 獸醫 Wilson Grassi

獸醫 Wilson Grassi

$72 交易量

8%

icon for 莎瑪拉

莎瑪拉

$100 交易量

4%

icon for 帕布羅·馬沙爾

帕布羅·馬沙爾

$40 交易量

4%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader pricing for first place in Paraná’s October 4 first-round presidential balloting, reflecting the state’s conservative electorate and sustained support for the Liberal Party (PL) brand in southern Brazil. His father’s endorsement, July 2026 party convention nomination, and subsequent reconciliation with Michelle Bolsonaro have reinforced his status as the primary right-wing contender, outweighing earlier 2026 audio scandals and family tensions. National polls show Lula ahead overall, yet Paraná’s voting patterns and lower visibility for alternatives such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos keep their implied probabilities well behind. Official campaign launch in mid-August and upcoming registration deadlines have not shifted the regional consensus reflected in current pricing.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$833
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader pricing for first place in Paraná’s October 4 first-round presidential balloting, reflecting the state’s conservative electorate and sustained support for the Liberal Party (PL) brand in southern Brazil. His father’s endorsement, July 2026 party convention nomination, and subsequent reconciliation with Michelle Bolsonaro have reinforced his status as the primary right-wing contender, outweighing earlier 2026 audio scandals and family tensions. National polls show Lula ahead overall, yet Paraná’s voting patterns and lower visibility for alternatives such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos keep their implied probabilities well behind. Official campaign launch in mid-August and upcoming registration deadlines have not shifted the regional consensus reflected in current pricing.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$833
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"巴西總統選舉第一輪：巴拉那州第一名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "弗拉維奧·波索納羅" at 70%, followed by "澤馬" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 70¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"巴西總統選舉第一輪：巴拉那州第一名" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "巴西總統選舉第一輪：巴拉那州第一名," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "巴西總統選舉第一輪：巴拉那州第一名" is "弗拉維奧·波索納羅" at 70%, meaning the market assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "澤馬" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "巴西總統選舉第一輪：巴拉那州第一名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.