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主要選舉 預測與賠率

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Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

97%

Abiy Ahmed

$85M 交易量

$10M today

$173K Liq.

11

Ends 28 天前

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

56%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$107M 交易量

$448K today

$10M Liq.

12,837

Ends 3 個月內

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$641M 交易量

$370K today

$38M Liq.

975

Ends 超過 2 年內

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

98%

Andy Burnham

$15M 交易量

$195K today

$3M Liq.

129

Ends 6 個月內

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

26%

Jordan Bardella

$106M 交易量

$195K today

$12M Liq.

575

Ends 10 個月內

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Peru Presidential Election Winner

99%

Keiko Fujimori

$106M 交易量

$167K today

$16M Liq.

14,736

Ends 3 個月前

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

42%

Gadi Eizenkot

$22M 交易量

$135K today

$2M Liq.

436

Ends 6 個月內

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

83%

Democratic Party

$8M 交易量

$132K today

$729K Liq.

1

Ends 4 個月內

Berlin State Election Winner

Berlin State Election Winner

42%

CDU

$3M 交易量

$56.9K today

$398K Liq.

6

Ends 3 個月內

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

43%

Democrats Sweep

$8M 交易量

$998K Liq.

227

Ends 4 個月內

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

40%

Sorin Grindeanu

$3M 交易量

$924K Liq.

361

Ends 29 天前

Algeria Parliamentary Election: Party Winner

Algeria Parliamentary Election: Party Winner

90%

FLN

$32.1K 交易量

$144K Liq.

Ends 4 天內

Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner

Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner

91%

Bev Craig

$155K 交易量

$466K Liq.

5

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

74%

Magdalena Andersson

$3M 交易量

$504K Liq.

17

Ends 3 個月內

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

96%

United Russia (ER)

$2M 交易量

$420K Liq.

16

Ends 3 個月內

São Tomé and Príncipe Presidential Election Winner

São Tomé and Príncipe Presidential Election Winner

61%

Carlos Vila Nova

$23.5K 交易量

$190K Liq.

1

Ends 21 天內

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

57%

Republican Party

$3M 交易量

$393K Liq.

76

Ends 4 個月內

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

42%

Likud

$53.2K 交易量

$190K Liq.

2

Ends 4 個月內

Next President of New Caledonia

Next President of New Caledonia

48%

Alcide Ponga

$20.5K 交易量

$98.2K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 年內

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

11%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$45.1K 交易量

$1M Liq.

Ends 大約 2 年內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 70 active markets for 主要選舉 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.1B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 19% chance to JD Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 主要選舉 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.