Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly faces Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson and Libertarian Johnny Baucom in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District on November 3, 2026. The district's consistent Republican tilt, reinforced by Kelly's prior reelection margins and a Cook Partisan Voting Index near R+18, anchors trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% Republican price. Kelly secured his nomination without primary opposition, while Johnson prevailed in the Democratic primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as solidly or safely Republican. A national Democratic surge, late scandal, or sharply elevated challenger turnout could compress the margin, though such shifts have proven rare in this district three months from the general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$114,918 交易量
$114,918 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
95%
民主黨
1%
$114,918 交易量
$114,918 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$82,923 交易量
95%
民主黨
$31,995 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly faces Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson and Libertarian Johnny Baucom in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District on November 3, 2026. The district's consistent Republican tilt, reinforced by Kelly's prior reelection margins and a Cook Partisan Voting Index near R+18, anchors trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% Republican price. Kelly secured his nomination without primary opposition, while Johnson prevailed in the Democratic primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as solidly or safely Republican. A national Democratic surge, late scandal, or sharply elevated challenger turnout could compress the margin, though such shifts have proven rare in this district three months from the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$114,918結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly faces Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson and Libertarian Johnny Baucom in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District on November 3, 2026. The district's consistent Republican tilt, reinforced by Kelly's prior reelection margins and a Cook Partisan Voting Index near R+18, anchors trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% Republican price. Kelly secured his nomination without primary opposition, while Johnson prevailed in the Democratic primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as solidly or safely Republican. A national Democratic surge, late scandal, or sharply elevated challenger turnout could compress the margin, though such shifts have proven rare in this district three months from the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$114,918結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly faces Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson and Libertarian Johnny Baucom in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District on November 3, 2026. The district's consistent Republican tilt, reinforced by Kelly's prior reelection margins and a Cook Partisan Voting Index near R+18, anchors trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% Republican price. Kelly secured his nomination without primary opposition, while Johnson prevailed in the Democratic primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as solidly or safely Republican. A national Democratic surge, late scandal, or sharply elevated challenger turnout could compress the margin, though such shifts have proven rare in this district three months from the general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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