Rashida Tlaib's strong position as the Democratic incumbent in Michigan's 12th congressional district stems from the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and repeated ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic by forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. Tlaib secured the nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote against intra-party challengers, while Republican nominee James Hooper advanced unopposed. The district's voter base in areas such as Dearborn and Southfield has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, limiting the challenger's path. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health development, or sharp national political shift could still alter the trajectory before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$39,234 交易量
$39,234 交易量
2026-11-02
拉希達·特萊布（民主黨）
96%
詹姆斯·胡珀（共和黨）
1%
$39,234 交易量
$39,234 交易量
2026-11-02
拉希達·特萊布（民主黨）
$21,751 交易量
96%
詹姆斯·胡珀（共和黨）
$17,483 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rashida Tlaib's strong position as the Democratic incumbent in Michigan's 12th congressional district stems from the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and repeated ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic by forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. Tlaib secured the nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote against intra-party challengers, while Republican nominee James Hooper advanced unopposed. The district's voter base in areas such as Dearborn and Southfield has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, limiting the challenger's path. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health development, or sharp national political shift could still alter the trajectory before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$39,234結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rashida Tlaib's strong position as the Democratic incumbent in Michigan's 12th congressional district stems from the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and repeated ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic by forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. Tlaib secured the nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote against intra-party challengers, while Republican nominee James Hooper advanced unopposed. The district's voter base in areas such as Dearborn and Southfield has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, limiting the challenger's path. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health development, or sharp national political shift could still alter the trajectory before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$39,234結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRashida Tlaib's strong position as the Democratic incumbent in Michigan's 12th congressional district stems from the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and repeated ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic by forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. Tlaib secured the nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote against intra-party challengers, while Republican nominee James Hooper advanced unopposed. The district's voter base in areas such as Dearborn and Southfield has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, limiting the challenger's path. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health development, or sharp national political shift could still alter the trajectory before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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