The open seat created by Jared Golden’s retirement has left Maine’s 2nd District competitive, with trader consensus placing Paul LePage narrowly ahead of Matthew Dunlap. The largely rural district’s consistent Republican tilt in presidential voting and LePage’s prior statewide name recognition provide the Republican an edge, yet recent polls show the matchup essentially tied. Dunlap’s victory in the June Democratic primary via ranked-choice voting over more moderate options has left him positioned as a progressive alternative in a constituency that has favored centrists. Fundraising leads for LePage and the broader national midterm environment further shape positioning. Upcoming debates, endorsements, and turnout patterns in key counties could widen or close the gap before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
保羅·勒佩奇（共和黨）
57%
馬修·鄧拉普（民主黨）
42%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
保羅·勒佩奇（共和黨）
$5,840 交易量
57%
馬修·鄧拉普（民主黨）
$2,663 交易量
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Jared Golden’s retirement has left Maine’s 2nd District competitive, with trader consensus placing Paul LePage narrowly ahead of Matthew Dunlap. The largely rural district’s consistent Republican tilt in presidential voting and LePage’s prior statewide name recognition provide the Republican an edge, yet recent polls show the matchup essentially tied. Dunlap’s victory in the June Democratic primary via ranked-choice voting over more moderate options has left him positioned as a progressive alternative in a constituency that has favored centrists. Fundraising leads for LePage and the broader national midterm environment further shape positioning. Upcoming debates, endorsements, and turnout patterns in key counties could widen or close the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
交易量
$8,503結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Jared Golden’s retirement has left Maine’s 2nd District competitive, with trader consensus placing Paul LePage narrowly ahead of Matthew Dunlap. The largely rural district’s consistent Republican tilt in presidential voting and LePage’s prior statewide name recognition provide the Republican an edge, yet recent polls show the matchup essentially tied. Dunlap’s victory in the June Democratic primary via ranked-choice voting over more moderate options has left him positioned as a progressive alternative in a constituency that has favored centrists. Fundraising leads for LePage and the broader national midterm environment further shape positioning. Upcoming debates, endorsements, and turnout patterns in key counties could widen or close the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,503結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETThe open seat created by Jared Golden’s retirement has left Maine’s 2nd District competitive, with trader consensus placing Paul LePage narrowly ahead of Matthew Dunlap. The largely rural district’s consistent Republican tilt in presidential voting and LePage’s prior statewide name recognition provide the Republican an edge, yet recent polls show the matchup essentially tied. Dunlap’s victory in the June Democratic primary via ranked-choice voting over more moderate options has left him positioned as a progressive alternative in a constituency that has favored centrists. Fundraising leads for LePage and the broader national midterm environment further shape positioning. Upcoming debates, endorsements, and turnout patterns in key counties could widen or close the gap before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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