Maine’s 2nd Congressional District remains a closely contested open seat in the 2026 House elections, with trader consensus assigning Paul LePage a modest edge over Matthew Dunlap. The district’s consistent Republican presidential margins contrast with its history of electing moderate Democrats, creating a narrow path that favors the former governor’s name recognition, fundraising lead, and alignment with the area’s conservative lean. Dunlap’s June primary victory through ranked-choice voting positioned him as the Democratic nominee but highlighted his more progressive profile compared with retiring Rep. Jared Golden. Upcoming October debates and late-cycle polling shifts on issues such as the economy and federal policy could still alter the balance before November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-02
保羅·勒佩奇（共和黨）
57%
馬修·鄧拉普（民主黨）
42%
最新
最新
2026-11-02
保羅·勒佩奇（共和黨）
$5,820 交易量
57%
馬修·鄧拉普（民主黨）
$2,263 交易量
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maine’s 2nd Congressional District remains a closely contested open seat in the 2026 House elections, with trader consensus assigning Paul LePage a modest edge over Matthew Dunlap. The district’s consistent Republican presidential margins contrast with its history of electing moderate Democrats, creating a narrow path that favors the former governor’s name recognition, fundraising lead, and alignment with the area’s conservative lean. Dunlap’s June primary victory through ranked-choice voting positioned him as the Democratic nominee but highlighted his more progressive profile compared with retiring Rep. Jared Golden. Upcoming October debates and late-cycle polling shifts on issues such as the economy and federal policy could still alter the balance before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
交易量
$8,083結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maine’s 2nd Congressional District remains a closely contested open seat in the 2026 House elections, with trader consensus assigning Paul LePage a modest edge over Matthew Dunlap. The district’s consistent Republican presidential margins contrast with its history of electing moderate Democrats, creating a narrow path that favors the former governor’s name recognition, fundraising lead, and alignment with the area’s conservative lean. Dunlap’s June primary victory through ranked-choice voting positioned him as the Democratic nominee but highlighted his more progressive profile compared with retiring Rep. Jared Golden. Upcoming October debates and late-cycle polling shifts on issues such as the economy and federal policy could still alter the balance before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,083結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETMaine’s 2nd Congressional District remains a closely contested open seat in the 2026 House elections, with trader consensus assigning Paul LePage a modest edge over Matthew Dunlap. The district’s consistent Republican presidential margins contrast with its history of electing moderate Democrats, creating a narrow path that favors the former governor’s name recognition, fundraising lead, and alignment with the area’s conservative lean. Dunlap’s June primary victory through ranked-choice voting positioned him as the Democratic nominee but highlighted his more progressive profile compared with retiring Rep. Jared Golden. Upcoming October debates and late-cycle polling shifts on issues such as the economy and federal policy could still alter the balance before November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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