Maine’s 2nd District features an open seat following Democratic Rep. Jared Golden’s retirement, pitting former Republican Gov. Paul LePage against Democratic nominee Matt Dunlap after June primaries concluded via ranked-choice voting. The district’s rural character, recent Republican strength in statewide contests, and alignment with national midterm dynamics have contributed to trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 58.5% implied probability over the Democratic Party at 35%. Mixed polling reflects a competitive environment where LePage’s name recognition and fundraising contrast with Dunlap’s state government experience, while ranked-choice elements and voter turnout patterns in key counties sustain uncertainty. Late-cycle developments such as candidate debates, endorsements, or shifts in economic sentiment could widen the gap ahead of the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和黨
57%
民主黨
43%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和黨
$0 交易量
57%
民主黨
$73 交易量
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maine’s 2nd District features an open seat following Democratic Rep. Jared Golden’s retirement, pitting former Republican Gov. Paul LePage against Democratic nominee Matt Dunlap after June primaries concluded via ranked-choice voting. The district’s rural character, recent Republican strength in statewide contests, and alignment with national midterm dynamics have contributed to trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 58.5% implied probability over the Democratic Party at 35%. Mixed polling reflects a competitive environment where LePage’s name recognition and fundraising contrast with Dunlap’s state government experience, while ranked-choice elements and voter turnout patterns in key counties sustain uncertainty. Late-cycle developments such as candidate debates, endorsements, or shifts in economic sentiment could widen the gap ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
交易量
$73結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maine’s 2nd District features an open seat following Democratic Rep. Jared Golden’s retirement, pitting former Republican Gov. Paul LePage against Democratic nominee Matt Dunlap after June primaries concluded via ranked-choice voting. The district’s rural character, recent Republican strength in statewide contests, and alignment with national midterm dynamics have contributed to trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 58.5% implied probability over the Democratic Party at 35%. Mixed polling reflects a competitive environment where LePage’s name recognition and fundraising contrast with Dunlap’s state government experience, while ranked-choice elements and voter turnout patterns in key counties sustain uncertainty. Late-cycle developments such as candidate debates, endorsements, or shifts in economic sentiment could widen the gap ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$73結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Maine’s 2nd District features an open seat following Democratic Rep. Jared Golden’s retirement, pitting former Republican Gov. Paul LePage against Democratic nominee Matt Dunlap after June primaries concluded via ranked-choice voting. The district’s rural character, recent Republican strength in statewide contests, and alignment with national midterm dynamics have contributed to trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 58.5% implied probability over the Democratic Party at 35%. Mixed polling reflects a competitive environment where LePage’s name recognition and fundraising contrast with Dunlap’s state government experience, while ranked-choice elements and voter turnout patterns in key counties sustain uncertainty. Late-cycle developments such as candidate debates, endorsements, or shifts in economic sentiment could widen the gap ahead of the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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