Skip to main content
icon for 堪薩斯州州長共和黨初選勝利邊際
政治·堪薩斯州

堪薩斯州州長共和黨初選勝利邊際

icon for 堪薩斯州州長共和黨初選勝利邊際
政治·堪薩斯州

堪薩斯州州長共和黨初選勝利邊際

Masterson 20-25% 43%

馬斯特森15–20% 43%

馬斯特森 5-10% 43%

Masterson 少於 5% 42%

Polymarket
最新

Masterson 20-25% 43%

馬斯特森15–20% 43%

馬斯特森 5-10% 43%

Masterson 少於 5% 42%

Polymarket
最新

馬斯特森贏25%以上

$0 交易量

41%

Masterson 20-25%

$0 交易量

43%

馬斯特森15–20%

$0 交易量

43%

馬斯特森 10–15%

$0 交易量

41%

馬斯特森 5-10%

$0 交易量

43%

Masterson 少於 5%

$0 交易量

42%

薩內基 <5%

$0 交易量

42%

薩內茨基 5–10%

$0 交易量

16%

薩內基10%以上

$0 交易量

15%

The Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election will be held on August 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Kansas, such as official statewide results published by the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The Kansas Republican primary for governor on August 4 features a crowded field led by Senate President Ty Masterson and businessman Philip Sarnecki, with additional contenders including Charlotte O’Hara and Scott Schwab. Trader pricing across narrow victory margins reflects vote-splitting risks and limited public polling data ahead of the contest, alongside recent debate exchanges that highlighted policy divides on taxes, budgeting, and education without clear frontrunner separation. Trump’s endorsement of Masterson has consolidated some support, yet Sarnecki’s appeals on fiscal restraint and outsider messaging keep the race competitive in key suburban and rural areas. Late-campaign events, turnout patterns among primary voters, or any final-week developments could shift the decisive margin in either direction.

The Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election will be held on August 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Kansas, such as official statewide results published by the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 9:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election will be held on August 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Kansas, such as official statewide results published by the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election will be held on August 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Kansas, such as official statewide results published by the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The Kansas Republican primary for governor on August 4 features a crowded field led by Senate President Ty Masterson and businessman Philip Sarnecki, with additional contenders including Charlotte O’Hara and Scott Schwab. Trader pricing across narrow victory margins reflects vote-splitting risks and limited public polling data ahead of the contest, alongside recent debate exchanges that highlighted policy divides on taxes, budgeting, and education without clear frontrunner separation. Trump’s endorsement of Masterson has consolidated some support, yet Sarnecki’s appeals on fiscal restraint and outsider messaging keep the race competitive in key suburban and rural areas. Late-campaign events, turnout patterns among primary voters, or any final-week developments could shift the decisive margin in either direction.

The Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election will be held on August 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Kansas, such as official statewide results published by the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 9:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election will be held on August 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Kansas, such as official statewide results published by the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

相關

icon for 賴瑞·羅登會以超過20%的優勢贏得南達科他州州長初選決選嗎？

賴瑞·羅登會以超過20%的優勢贏得南達科他州州長初選決選嗎？

95%
是
icon for 弗蘭西絲卡·洪會以至少30%的優勢贏得威斯康星州民主黨州長初選嗎？

弗蘭西絲卡·洪會以至少30%的優勢贏得威斯康星州民主黨州長初選嗎？

43%
是
icon for Ty Masterson 會贏得2026年堪薩斯州州長共和黨初選嗎？

Ty Masterson 會贏得2026年堪薩斯州州長共和黨初選嗎？

84%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"堪薩斯州州長共和黨初選勝利邊際" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Masterson 20-25%" at 44%, followed by "馬斯特森15–20%" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"堪薩斯州州長共和黨初選勝利邊際" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "堪薩斯州州長共和黨初選勝利邊際," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "堪薩斯州州長共和黨初選勝利邊際" is "Masterson 20-25%" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "馬斯特森15–20%" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "堪薩斯州州長共和黨初選勝利邊際" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.