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政治·主要

密歇根州民主黨參議院初選：馬科姆縣優勝者

icon for 密歇根州民主黨參議院初選：馬科姆縣優勝者
政治·主要

密歇根州民主黨參議院初選：馬科姆縣優勝者

最新
Polymarket
最新

阿卜杜勒·伊爾-賽義德

$0 交易量

44%

海莉·史蒂文斯

$6 交易量

53%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Macomb County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Macomb County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Macomb County.The Michigan Democratic U.S. Senate primary on August 4 features a tight contest between U.S. Rep. Haley Stevens and Abdul El-Sayed for support across key counties, including Macomb, where blue-collar suburban voters and shifting turnout patterns create uncertainty. Incumbent Sen. Gary Peters endorsed Stevens in mid-July, bolstering her position among party regulars, while the candidates' final debate highlighted contrasting approaches on affordability and general-election viability. Early July polling showed the pair statistically tied statewide after state Sen. Mallory McMorrow's withdrawal, and Macomb remains particularly competitive due to mixed grassroots signals and its role in Democratic coalition building. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with limited separation expected absent late shifts in local endorsements or voter mobilization.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Macomb County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the Macomb County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Macomb County.
交易量
$6
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 9:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Macomb County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Macomb County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Macomb County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Macomb County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Macomb County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Macomb County.The Michigan Democratic U.S. Senate primary on August 4 features a tight contest between U.S. Rep. Haley Stevens and Abdul El-Sayed for support across key counties, including Macomb, where blue-collar suburban voters and shifting turnout patterns create uncertainty. Incumbent Sen. Gary Peters endorsed Stevens in mid-July, bolstering her position among party regulars, while the candidates' final debate highlighted contrasting approaches on affordability and general-election viability. Early July polling showed the pair statistically tied statewide after state Sen. Mallory McMorrow's withdrawal, and Macomb remains particularly competitive due to mixed grassroots signals and its role in Democratic coalition building. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with limited separation expected absent late shifts in local endorsements or voter mobilization.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Macomb County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the Macomb County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Macomb County.
交易量
$6
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 9:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Macomb County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Macomb County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Macomb County.

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"密歇根州民主黨參議院初選：馬科姆縣優勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "海莉·史蒂文斯" at 54%, followed by "阿卜杜勒·伊爾-賽義德" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"密歇根州民主黨參議院初選：馬科姆縣優勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "密歇根州民主黨參議院初選：馬科姆縣優勝者," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "密歇根州民主黨參議院初選：馬科姆縣優勝者" is "海莉·史蒂文斯" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "阿卜杜勒·伊爾-賽義德" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "密歇根州民主黨參議院初選：馬科姆縣優勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.