United Russia holds a commanding lead in the Samara Oblast Regional Duma election due to its status as the dominant ruling party with extensive organizational resources, incumbency advantages across most single-mandate districts, and alignment with federal authorities. The mixed electoral system—25 seats by proportional representation with a 5% threshold and 25 by first-past-the-post—favors established parties with broad candidate slates, and United Russia has fielded full lists in both components for the September 18–20 vote. National polling trends and historical regional results reinforce trader expectations of another large majority, similar to its 36 seats in 2021. Other parties face structural constraints on competition and visibility, though shifts in turnout or late developments could theoretically alter seat distributions in this closely timed contest with the national parliamentary vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於United Russia 97.0%
New People <1%
LDPR <1%
Party of Pensioners <1%
$13,290 交易量
$13,290 交易量
2026-09-20
United Russia
97%
New People
1%
LDPR
1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
Communists of Russia
<1%
CPRF
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
United Russia 97.0%
New People <1%
LDPR <1%
Party of Pensioners <1%
$13,290 交易量
$13,290 交易量
2026-09-20
United Russia
$10,048 交易量
97%
New People
$842 交易量
1%
LDPR
$435 交易量
1%
Party of Pensioners
$555 交易量
<1%
Communists of Russia
$659 交易量
<1%
CPRF
$376 交易量
<1%
A Just Russia
$376 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Samara Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding lead in the Samara Oblast Regional Duma election due to its status as the dominant ruling party with extensive organizational resources, incumbency advantages across most single-mandate districts, and alignment with federal authorities. The mixed electoral system—25 seats by proportional representation with a 5% threshold and 25 by first-past-the-post—favors established parties with broad candidate slates, and United Russia has fielded full lists in both components for the September 18–20 vote. National polling trends and historical regional results reinforce trader expectations of another large majority, similar to its 36 seats in 2021. Other parties face structural constraints on competition and visibility, though shifts in turnout or late developments could theoretically alter seat distributions in this closely timed contest with the national parliamentary vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Samara Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
市場開放時間： Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
交易量
$13,290結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Samara Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding lead in the Samara Oblast Regional Duma election due to its status as the dominant ruling party with extensive organizational resources, incumbency advantages across most single-mandate districts, and alignment with federal authorities. The mixed electoral system—25 seats by proportional representation with a 5% threshold and 25 by first-past-the-post—favors established parties with broad candidate slates, and United Russia has fielded full lists in both components for the September 18–20 vote. National polling trends and historical regional results reinforce trader expectations of another large majority, similar to its 36 seats in 2021. Other parties face structural constraints on competition and visibility, though shifts in turnout or late developments could theoretically alter seat distributions in this closely timed contest with the national parliamentary vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Samara Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
交易量
$13,290結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETUnited Russia holds a commanding lead in the Samara Oblast Regional Duma election due to its status as the dominant ruling party with extensive organizational resources, incumbency advantages across most single-mandate districts, and alignment with federal authorities. The mixed electoral system—25 seats by proportional representation with a 5% threshold and 25 by first-past-the-post—favors established parties with broad candidate slates, and United Russia has fielded full lists in both components for the September 18–20 vote. National polling trends and historical regional results reinforce trader expectations of another large majority, similar to its 36 seats in 2021. Other parties face structural constraints on competition and visibility, though shifts in turnout or late developments could theoretically alter seat distributions in this closely timed contest with the national parliamentary vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions