Washington voters face Initiative 645 on the November 3, 2026 ballot, which would repeal the 9.9% tax on household income above $1 million enacted earlier this year and signed by Governor Bob Ferguson. The measure qualified after backers submitted over 500,000 signatures. Opponents, including public-sector unions and Democratic-aligned groups, have mobilized substantial spending—such as the Washington Education Association’s recent $3 million contribution—to defeat it, emphasizing projected revenue losses for K-12 education, healthcare, and other services. A June poll showed repeal trailing 38% to 57%, consistent with voters’ prior rejection of a similar capital gains tax repeal effort. Trader pricing at 79% against repeal reflects these organized opposition efforts, polling trends, and revenue stakes ahead of election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
20% 機率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
是
20% 機率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
Initiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/). Washington voters face Initiative 645 on the November 3, 2026 ballot, which would repeal the 9.9% tax on household income above $1 million enacted earlier this year and signed by Governor Bob Ferguson. The measure qualified after backers submitted over 500,000 signatures. Opponents, including public-sector unions and Democratic-aligned groups, have mobilized substantial spending—such as the Washington Education Association’s recent $3 million contribution—to defeat it, emphasizing projected revenue losses for K-12 education, healthcare, and other services. A June poll showed repeal trailing 38% to 57%, consistent with voters’ prior rejection of a similar capital gains tax repeal effort. Trader pricing at 79% against repeal reflects these organized opposition efforts, polling trends, and revenue stakes ahead of election day.
Initiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 1:18 PM ET
交易量
$166結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 1:18 PM ETInitiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/). Washington voters face Initiative 645 on the November 3, 2026 ballot, which would repeal the 9.9% tax on household income above $1 million enacted earlier this year and signed by Governor Bob Ferguson. The measure qualified after backers submitted over 500,000 signatures. Opponents, including public-sector unions and Democratic-aligned groups, have mobilized substantial spending—such as the Washington Education Association’s recent $3 million contribution—to defeat it, emphasizing projected revenue losses for K-12 education, healthcare, and other services. A June poll showed repeal trailing 38% to 57%, consistent with voters’ prior rejection of a similar capital gains tax repeal effort. Trader pricing at 79% against repeal reflects these organized opposition efforts, polling trends, and revenue stakes ahead of election day.
Initiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
交易量
$166結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 1:18 PM ETWashington voters face Initiative 645 on the November 3, 2026 ballot, which would repeal the 9.9% tax on household income above $1 million enacted earlier this year and signed by Governor Bob Ferguson. The measure qualified after backers submitted over 500,000 signatures. Opponents, including public-sector unions and Democratic-aligned groups, have mobilized substantial spending—such as the Washington Education Association’s recent $3 million contribution—to defeat it, emphasizing projected revenue losses for K-12 education, healthcare, and other services. A June poll showed repeal trailing 38% to 57%, consistent with voters’ prior rejection of a similar capital gains tax repeal effort. Trader pricing at 79% against repeal reflects these organized opposition efforts, polling trends, and revenue stakes ahead of election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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