The extended timeline until Australia's next federal election, due by 2028, keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered around multiple candidates as traders weigh long-term variables. Incumbent Anthony Albanese leads a Labor government focused on economic and tax measures amid ongoing parliamentary scrutiny, while the Liberal-National Coalition under Angus Taylor positions itself as the primary challenger. Minor-party figures such as Pauline Hanson also factor into the field. This balance reflects the scope for leadership transitions, shifting voter sentiment in key states, and policy outcomes to reshape party standings before the contest begins, consistent with historical patterns where distant elections produce fluid assessments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Angus Taylor 100%
Robbie Katter 100%
Pauline Hanson 100%
Larissa Waters 100%
Angus Taylor
100%
Robbie Katter
100%
Pauline Hanson
100%
Larissa Waters
100%
Anthony Albanese
100%
Angus Taylor 100%
Robbie Katter 100%
Pauline Hanson 100%
Larissa Waters 100%
Angus Taylor
100%
Robbie Katter
100%
Pauline Hanson
100%
Larissa Waters
100%
Anthony Albanese
100%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The extended timeline until Australia's next federal election, due by 2028, keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered around multiple candidates as traders weigh long-term variables. Incumbent Anthony Albanese leads a Labor government focused on economic and tax measures amid ongoing parliamentary scrutiny, while the Liberal-National Coalition under Angus Taylor positions itself as the primary challenger. Minor-party figures such as Pauline Hanson also factor into the field. This balance reflects the scope for leadership transitions, shifting voter sentiment in key states, and policy outcomes to reshape party standings before the contest begins, consistent with historical patterns where distant elections produce fluid assessments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions