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Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

icon for Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Angus Taylor 100%

Robbie Katter 100%

Pauline Hanson 100%

Larissa Waters 100%

Polymarket
最新

Angus Taylor 100%

Robbie Katter 100%

Pauline Hanson 100%

Larissa Waters 100%

Polymarket
最新

Angus Taylor

$0 交易量

100%

Robbie Katter

$0 交易量

100%

Pauline Hanson

$0 交易量

100%

Larissa Waters

$0 交易量

100%

Anthony Albanese

$0 交易量

100%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The extended timeline until Australia's next federal election, due by 2028, keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered around multiple candidates as traders weigh long-term variables. Incumbent Anthony Albanese leads a Labor government focused on economic and tax measures amid ongoing parliamentary scrutiny, while the Liberal-National Coalition under Angus Taylor positions itself as the primary challenger. Minor-party figures such as Pauline Hanson also factor into the field. This balance reflects the scope for leadership transitions, shifting voter sentiment in key states, and policy outcomes to reshape party standings before the contest begins, consistent with historical patterns where distant elections produce fluid assessments.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2028-09-23
市場開放時間
Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The extended timeline until Australia's next federal election, due by 2028, keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered around multiple candidates as traders weigh long-term variables. Incumbent Anthony Albanese leads a Labor government focused on economic and tax measures amid ongoing parliamentary scrutiny, while the Liberal-National Coalition under Angus Taylor positions itself as the primary challenger. Minor-party figures such as Pauline Hanson also factor into the field. This balance reflects the scope for leadership transitions, shifting voter sentiment in key states, and policy outcomes to reshape party standings before the contest begins, consistent with historical patterns where distant elections produce fluid assessments.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2028-09-23
市場開放時間
Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Angus Taylor" at 50%, followed by "Robbie Katter" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? " is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? ," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? " is "Angus Taylor" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Robbie Katter" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.