Deepening divisions within the Socialist Party over alliances with La France Insoumise, exposed after the March 2026 municipal elections, have raised doubts about participation in the October 11, 2026 United Left primary. Party leader Olivier Faure faces internal pressure to pursue an independent path for 2027, prompting allies to avoid firm commitments and refer to the effort vaguely as a “process.” La France Insoumise and Place Publique have signaled non-participation, while procedural hurdles in coalition-building add uncertainty. These factors position cancellation as the consensus outcome. Marine Tondelier benefits from the Ecologists’ unified backing as their national secretary, outpacing François Ruffin and Clémentine Autain, whose narrower bases limit cross-faction support. Trader pricing reflects these structural barriers to a contested primary.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Canceled 45%
Marine Tondelier 16%
François Ruffin 11.8%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy 2.0%
$100,012 交易量
$100,012 交易量
2026-10-11
Canceled
45%
Marine Tondelier
16%
François Ruffin
12%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
2%
Clémentine Autain
1%
Lydie Massard
1%
Canceled 45%
Marine Tondelier 16%
François Ruffin 11.8%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy 2.0%
$100,012 交易量
$100,012 交易量
2026-10-11
Canceled
$28,098 交易量
45%
Marine Tondelier
$41,152 交易量
16%
François Ruffin
$24,443 交易量
12%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
$380 交易量
2%
Clémentine Autain
$4,220 交易量
1%
Lydie Massard
$1,717 交易量
1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Deepening divisions within the Socialist Party over alliances with La France Insoumise, exposed after the March 2026 municipal elections, have raised doubts about participation in the October 11, 2026 United Left primary. Party leader Olivier Faure faces internal pressure to pursue an independent path for 2027, prompting allies to avoid firm commitments and refer to the effort vaguely as a “process.” La France Insoumise and Place Publique have signaled non-participation, while procedural hurdles in coalition-building add uncertainty. These factors position cancellation as the consensus outcome. Marine Tondelier benefits from the Ecologists’ unified backing as their national secretary, outpacing François Ruffin and Clémentine Autain, whose narrower bases limit cross-faction support. Trader pricing reflects these structural barriers to a contested primary.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市場開放時間： May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
交易量
$100,012結束日期
2026-10-11市場開放時間
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Deepening divisions within the Socialist Party over alliances with La France Insoumise, exposed after the March 2026 municipal elections, have raised doubts about participation in the October 11, 2026 United Left primary. Party leader Olivier Faure faces internal pressure to pursue an independent path for 2027, prompting allies to avoid firm commitments and refer to the effort vaguely as a “process.” La France Insoumise and Place Publique have signaled non-participation, while procedural hurdles in coalition-building add uncertainty. These factors position cancellation as the consensus outcome. Marine Tondelier benefits from the Ecologists’ unified backing as their national secretary, outpacing François Ruffin and Clémentine Autain, whose narrower bases limit cross-faction support. Trader pricing reflects these structural barriers to a contested primary.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$100,012結束日期
2026-10-11市場開放時間
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Deepening divisions within the Socialist Party over alliances with La France Insoumise, exposed after the March 2026 municipal elections, have raised doubts about participation in the October 11, 2026 United Left primary. Party leader Olivier Faure faces internal pressure to pursue an independent path for 2027, prompting allies to avoid firm commitments and refer to the effort vaguely as a “process.” La France Insoumise and Place Publique have signaled non-participation, while procedural hurdles in coalition-building add uncertainty. These factors position cancellation as the consensus outcome. Marine Tondelier benefits from the Ecologists’ unified backing as their national secretary, outpacing François Ruffin and Clémentine Autain, whose narrower bases limit cross-faction support. Trader pricing reflects these structural barriers to a contested primary.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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