The 2026 United Left primary, scheduled for October 11 to select a joint candidate for France's 2027 presidential election, faces an overwhelming likelihood of cancellation according to trader consensus. Major left-wing forces including La France Insoumise, the Socialist Party, and Place Publique have declined to participate from the outset, while internal Socialist divisions over alliances and strategy have intensified following the March 2026 municipal elections. Only narrower groups such as Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout! remain involved, with figures like Marine Tondelier and François Ruffin positioned among limited contenders. This fragmentation, alongside the absence of broader coalition support, underpins the dominant market positioning for cancellation, though shifts in party negotiations or unexpected endorsements could still alter the timeline before the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於已取消 92.2%
François Ruffin 1.2%
Marine Tondelier <1%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$202,736 交易量
$202,736 交易量
2026-10-11
已取消
92%
François Ruffin
1%
Marine Tondelier
1%
Clémentine Autain
1%
Lydie Massard
<1%
本傑明·盧卡斯-倫迪
<1%
已取消 92.2%
François Ruffin 1.2%
Marine Tondelier <1%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$202,736 交易量
$202,736 交易量
2026-10-11
已取消
$67,262 交易量
92%
François Ruffin
$31,112 交易量
1%
Marine Tondelier
$49,561 交易量
1%
Clémentine Autain
$7,357 交易量
1%
Lydie Massard
$43,228 交易量
<1%
本傑明·盧卡斯-倫迪
$4,216 交易量
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The 2026 United Left primary, scheduled for October 11 to select a joint candidate for France's 2027 presidential election, faces an overwhelming likelihood of cancellation according to trader consensus. Major left-wing forces including La France Insoumise, the Socialist Party, and Place Publique have declined to participate from the outset, while internal Socialist divisions over alliances and strategy have intensified following the March 2026 municipal elections. Only narrower groups such as Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout! remain involved, with figures like Marine Tondelier and François Ruffin positioned among limited contenders. This fragmentation, alongside the absence of broader coalition support, underpins the dominant market positioning for cancellation, though shifts in party negotiations or unexpected endorsements could still alter the timeline before the resolution window.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市場開放時間： May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
交易量
$202,736結束日期
2026-10-11市場開放時間
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The 2026 United Left primary, scheduled for October 11 to select a joint candidate for France's 2027 presidential election, faces an overwhelming likelihood of cancellation according to trader consensus. Major left-wing forces including La France Insoumise, the Socialist Party, and Place Publique have declined to participate from the outset, while internal Socialist divisions over alliances and strategy have intensified following the March 2026 municipal elections. Only narrower groups such as Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout! remain involved, with figures like Marine Tondelier and François Ruffin positioned among limited contenders. This fragmentation, alongside the absence of broader coalition support, underpins the dominant market positioning for cancellation, though shifts in party negotiations or unexpected endorsements could still alter the timeline before the resolution window.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$202,736結束日期
2026-10-11市場開放時間
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary, scheduled for October 11 to select a joint candidate for France's 2027 presidential election, faces an overwhelming likelihood of cancellation according to trader consensus. Major left-wing forces including La France Insoumise, the Socialist Party, and Place Publique have declined to participate from the outset, while internal Socialist divisions over alliances and strategy have intensified following the March 2026 municipal elections. Only narrower groups such as Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout! remain involved, with figures like Marine Tondelier and François Ruffin positioned among limited contenders. This fragmentation, alongside the absence of broader coalition support, underpins the dominant market positioning for cancellation, though shifts in party negotiations or unexpected endorsements could still alter the timeline before the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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