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政治·法文

France United Left Primary Winner

icon for France United Left Primary Winner
政治·法文

France United Left Primary Winner

已取消 57%

Marine Tondelier 29%

François Ruffin 9%

本傑明·盧卡斯-倫迪 1.0%

Polymarket

$50,677 交易量

已取消 57%

Marine Tondelier 29%

François Ruffin 9%

本傑明·盧卡斯-倫迪 1.0%

Polymarket

$50,677 交易量

icon for 已取消

已取消

$7,861 交易量

57%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$26,473 交易量

29%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$10,938 交易量

9%

icon for 本傑明·盧卡斯-倫迪

本傑明·盧卡斯-倫迪

$67 交易量

1%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$3,877 交易量

<1%

icon for Lydie Massard

Lydie Massard

$1,460 交易量

<1%

The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election. This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify. If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus prices cancellation of the United Left primary at 57%, reflecting deepening fractures among key parties like the Socialists and Greens ahead of the October 11, 2026 vote to select a joint 2027 presidential candidate. A May 9 Le Monde report highlighted Socialist infighting, with leader Olivier Faure facing pushback despite a May 6 Paris meeting where Marine Tondelier, François Ruffin, and Clémentine Autain revived unity talks. However, Tondelier (28.5%) leads as the adamant Greens secretary pushing the process, while Ruffin (8.5%) gains from his independent candidacy threats and regional appeal against the far right. LFI figures like Manuel Bompard decry the primary as divisive, boosting no-confidence amid coalition negotiation stalls.

The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.

This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.

If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$50,677
結束日期
2026-10-11
市場開放時間
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election. This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify. If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election. This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify. If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus prices cancellation of the United Left primary at 57%, reflecting deepening fractures among key parties like the Socialists and Greens ahead of the October 11, 2026 vote to select a joint 2027 presidential candidate. A May 9 Le Monde report highlighted Socialist infighting, with leader Olivier Faure facing pushback despite a May 6 Paris meeting where Marine Tondelier, François Ruffin, and Clémentine Autain revived unity talks. However, Tondelier (28.5%) leads as the adamant Greens secretary pushing the process, while Ruffin (8.5%) gains from his independent candidacy threats and regional appeal against the far right. LFI figures like Manuel Bompard decry the primary as divisive, boosting no-confidence amid coalition negotiation stalls.

The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.

This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.

If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$50,677
結束日期
2026-10-11
市場開放時間
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election. This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify. If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"France United Left Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "已取消" at 57%, followed by "Marine Tondelier" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "France United Left Primary Winner" has generated $50.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "France United Left Primary Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "France United Left Primary Winner" is "已取消" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marine Tondelier" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "France United Left Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.