Brazil's STF justices enjoy strong institutional protections, including lifetime tenure until age 75 and removal only by a two-thirds Senate vote following House approval on specific charges. Recent impeachment requests against figures such as Gilmar Mendes and Alexandre de Moraes have surfaced in congressional inquiries and from individual senators, yet none have advanced beyond recommendations or procedural debates as of mid-2026. Court rulings clarifying filing requirements and Senate thresholds have reinforced barriers, while the current legislative balance and lack of supermajority support limit momentum. Traders price the "No" outcome near certainty because historical precedent shows no successful removals in modern times and near-term political conditions offer few pathways. A decisive post-election Senate shift or unprecedented bipartisan consensus on misconduct could still alter trajectories before 2027.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
3% 機率
$83,546 交易量
$83,546 交易量
2026-12-31
是
3% 機率
$83,546 交易量
$83,546 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's STF justices enjoy strong institutional protections, including lifetime tenure until age 75 and removal only by a two-thirds Senate vote following House approval on specific charges. Recent impeachment requests against figures such as Gilmar Mendes and Alexandre de Moraes have surfaced in congressional inquiries and from individual senators, yet none have advanced beyond recommendations or procedural debates as of mid-2026. Court rulings clarifying filing requirements and Senate thresholds have reinforced barriers, while the current legislative balance and lack of supermajority support limit momentum. Traders price the "No" outcome near certainty because historical precedent shows no successful removals in modern times and near-term political conditions offer few pathways. A decisive post-election Senate shift or unprecedented bipartisan consensus on misconduct could still alter trajectories before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
交易量
$83,546結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's STF justices enjoy strong institutional protections, including lifetime tenure until age 75 and removal only by a two-thirds Senate vote following House approval on specific charges. Recent impeachment requests against figures such as Gilmar Mendes and Alexandre de Moraes have surfaced in congressional inquiries and from individual senators, yet none have advanced beyond recommendations or procedural debates as of mid-2026. Court rulings clarifying filing requirements and Senate thresholds have reinforced barriers, while the current legislative balance and lack of supermajority support limit momentum. Traders price the "No" outcome near certainty because historical precedent shows no successful removals in modern times and near-term political conditions offer few pathways. A decisive post-election Senate shift or unprecedented bipartisan consensus on misconduct could still alter trajectories before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$83,546結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Brazil's STF justices enjoy strong institutional protections, including lifetime tenure until age 75 and removal only by a two-thirds Senate vote following House approval on specific charges. Recent impeachment requests against figures such as Gilmar Mendes and Alexandre de Moraes have surfaced in congressional inquiries and from individual senators, yet none have advanced beyond recommendations or procedural debates as of mid-2026. Court rulings clarifying filing requirements and Senate thresholds have reinforced barriers, while the current legislative balance and lack of supermajority support limit momentum. Traders price the "No" outcome near certainty because historical precedent shows no successful removals in modern times and near-term political conditions offer few pathways. A decisive post-election Senate shift or unprecedented bipartisan consensus on misconduct could still alter trajectories before 2027.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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