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icon for 宜蘭縣治安法官選舉優勝者

宜蘭縣治安法官選舉優勝者

icon for 宜蘭縣治安法官選舉優勝者

宜蘭縣治安法官選舉優勝者

林國彰 67%

吳宗憲 25%

陳琬惠 4.2%

張勝得 1.0%

Polymarket
最新

林國彰 67%

吳宗憲 25%

陳琬惠 4.2%

張勝得 1.0%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 林國彰

林國彰

$2,733 交易量

67%

icon for 吳宗憲

吳宗憲

$3,340 交易量

25%

icon for 陳琬惠

陳琬惠

$396 交易量

4%

icon for 張勝得

張勝得

$264 交易量

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lin Kuo-chang holds the strongest position in the November 28, 2026, Yilan County magistrate race as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, benefiting from unified party backing after prior factional strains and his established local profile as a long-practicing lawyer in the county. The opposition Kuomintang-TPP alliance consolidated behind Wu Tsung-hsien following his narrow win in their joint polling primary over Chen Wan-hui, yet Wu trails amid limited personal ties to Yilan and lingering effects from the prior KMT administration’s legal issues that disrupted succession planning. Recent registration filings confirmed five magistrate candidates, including independents, while opposition criticism has targeted Lin’s state-owned enterprise roles and compensation. Polling trends and the county’s historical leanings continue to underpin trader pricing, with the election still weeks away and subject to further campaign developments or turnout shifts.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$6,733
結束日期
2027-07-01
市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lin Kuo-chang holds the strongest position in the November 28, 2026, Yilan County magistrate race as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, benefiting from unified party backing after prior factional strains and his established local profile as a long-practicing lawyer in the county. The opposition Kuomintang-TPP alliance consolidated behind Wu Tsung-hsien following his narrow win in their joint polling primary over Chen Wan-hui, yet Wu trails amid limited personal ties to Yilan and lingering effects from the prior KMT administration’s legal issues that disrupted succession planning. Recent registration filings confirmed five magistrate candidates, including independents, while opposition criticism has targeted Lin’s state-owned enterprise roles and compensation. Polling trends and the county’s historical leanings continue to underpin trader pricing, with the election still weeks away and subject to further campaign developments or turnout shifts.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$6,733
結束日期
2027-07-01
市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"宜蘭縣治安法官選舉優勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "林國彰" at 67%, followed by "吳宗憲" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"宜蘭縣治安法官選舉優勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "宜蘭縣治安法官選舉優勝者," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "宜蘭縣治安法官選舉優勝者" is "林國彰" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "吳宗憲" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "宜蘭縣治安法官選舉優勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.