Incumbent KMT Mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang holds an 86% implied probability in the Keelung mayoral race, reflecting his established local support base and the party's decision to back his re-election bid ahead of the November 2026 vote. Trader consensus has been shaped by his survival of a 2024 recall effort, ongoing administrative visibility including recent deputy appointments, and polling trends that continue to show him ahead of challengers despite some narrowing. DPP-linked candidate Tung Tzu-wei registers at 10% amid limited reported momentum, while other potential entrants remain at or near 50% with minimal trading activity indicating low expected viability. Upcoming party conventions and candidate registration deadlines represent key near-term catalysts that could further consolidate positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2027-06-30
謝國樑
86%
童子瑋
9%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
謝國樑
$1,099 交易量
86%
童子瑋
$632 交易量
9%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent KMT Mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang holds an 86% implied probability in the Keelung mayoral race, reflecting his established local support base and the party's decision to back his re-election bid ahead of the November 2026 vote. Trader consensus has been shaped by his survival of a 2024 recall effort, ongoing administrative visibility including recent deputy appointments, and polling trends that continue to show him ahead of challengers despite some narrowing. DPP-linked candidate Tung Tzu-wei registers at 10% amid limited reported momentum, while other potential entrants remain at or near 50% with minimal trading activity indicating low expected viability. Upcoming party conventions and candidate registration deadlines represent key near-term catalysts that could further consolidate positioning.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET
交易量
$1,731結束日期
2026-11-28市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent KMT Mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang holds an 86% implied probability in the Keelung mayoral race, reflecting his established local support base and the party's decision to back his re-election bid ahead of the November 2026 vote. Trader consensus has been shaped by his survival of a 2024 recall effort, ongoing administrative visibility including recent deputy appointments, and polling trends that continue to show him ahead of challengers despite some narrowing. DPP-linked candidate Tung Tzu-wei registers at 10% amid limited reported momentum, while other potential entrants remain at or near 50% with minimal trading activity indicating low expected viability. Upcoming party conventions and candidate registration deadlines represent key near-term catalysts that could further consolidate positioning.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$1,731結束日期
2026-11-28市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent KMT Mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang holds an 86% implied probability in the Keelung mayoral race, reflecting his established local support base and the party's decision to back his re-election bid ahead of the November 2026 vote. Trader consensus has been shaped by his survival of a 2024 recall effort, ongoing administrative visibility including recent deputy appointments, and polling trends that continue to show him ahead of challengers despite some narrowing. DPP-linked candidate Tung Tzu-wei registers at 10% amid limited reported momentum, while other potential entrants remain at or near 50% with minimal trading activity indicating low expected viability. Upcoming party conventions and candidate registration deadlines represent key near-term catalysts that could further consolidate positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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