Chen Yu-jen holds an 87.5% implied probability as the leading outcome in the Kinmen County Magistrate race due to her March 2026 selection as the Kuomintang’s sole nominee and her position as the county’s sitting Legislative Yuan representative. Kinmen has long functioned as a KMT stronghold, with the party routinely capturing magistrate and legislative seats and no official Democratic Progressive Party candidate fielded in recent cycles. This structural advantage, combined with Chen’s established local profile and defense of county interests, has consolidated trader consensus around her prospects ahead of the November 28, 2026 vote. Remaining candidates, including Li Wen-liang at 10% and Liang Wen-tao at 8.8%, register minimal support as non-KMT contenders operating without comparable party infrastructure or name recognition in the county.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於陳玉珍 88%
李文亮 10%
楊鎮浯 <1%
梁文韜 0
最新
最新
2027-06-30
陳玉珍
88%
李文亮
10%
楊鎮浯
1%
梁文韜
33%
陳玉珍 88%
李文亮 10%
楊鎮浯 <1%
梁文韜 0
最新
最新
2027-06-30
陳玉珍
$1,926 交易量
88%
李文亮
$397 交易量
10%
楊鎮浯
$246 交易量
1%
梁文韜
$245 交易量
33%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Yu-jen holds an 87.5% implied probability as the leading outcome in the Kinmen County Magistrate race due to her March 2026 selection as the Kuomintang’s sole nominee and her position as the county’s sitting Legislative Yuan representative. Kinmen has long functioned as a KMT stronghold, with the party routinely capturing magistrate and legislative seats and no official Democratic Progressive Party candidate fielded in recent cycles. This structural advantage, combined with Chen’s established local profile and defense of county interests, has consolidated trader consensus around her prospects ahead of the November 28, 2026 vote. Remaining candidates, including Li Wen-liang at 10% and Liang Wen-tao at 8.8%, register minimal support as non-KMT contenders operating without comparable party infrastructure or name recognition in the county.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ET
交易量
$2,814結束日期
2026-11-28市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Yu-jen holds an 87.5% implied probability as the leading outcome in the Kinmen County Magistrate race due to her March 2026 selection as the Kuomintang’s sole nominee and her position as the county’s sitting Legislative Yuan representative. Kinmen has long functioned as a KMT stronghold, with the party routinely capturing magistrate and legislative seats and no official Democratic Progressive Party candidate fielded in recent cycles. This structural advantage, combined with Chen’s established local profile and defense of county interests, has consolidated trader consensus around her prospects ahead of the November 28, 2026 vote. Remaining candidates, including Li Wen-liang at 10% and Liang Wen-tao at 8.8%, register minimal support as non-KMT contenders operating without comparable party infrastructure or name recognition in the county.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$2,814結束日期
2026-11-28市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chen Yu-jen holds an 87.5% implied probability as the leading outcome in the Kinmen County Magistrate race due to her March 2026 selection as the Kuomintang’s sole nominee and her position as the county’s sitting Legislative Yuan representative. Kinmen has long functioned as a KMT stronghold, with the party routinely capturing magistrate and legislative seats and no official Democratic Progressive Party candidate fielded in recent cycles. This structural advantage, combined with Chen’s established local profile and defense of county interests, has consolidated trader consensus around her prospects ahead of the November 28, 2026 vote. Remaining candidates, including Li Wen-liang at 10% and Liang Wen-tao at 8.8%, register minimal support as non-KMT contenders operating without comparable party infrastructure or name recognition in the county.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions