Wang Chung-ming, the Kuomintang incumbent magistrate of Lienchiang County since 2022, leads the Polymarket with an 84.5% implied probability ahead of the November 28, 2026, local elections. Traders price in his incumbency advantages, including prior deputy experience, established party organizational networks, and the county's longstanding KMT voting patterns in magistrate races. Potential challengers such as Tsao Erh-yuan at 7.5% and Tsao Erh-chang at 0.5% remain marginal, reflecting limited reported nominations or primary contests to date. July 2026 KMT leadership events across counties reinforced party cohesion without indicating shifts in this race. The wide margin captures these structural factors while leaving room for late entries or primary outcomes to adjust probabilities before the vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於王忠銘 85%
曹爾元 6.7%
曹爾章 <1%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
王忠銘
85%
曹爾元
8%
曹爾章
1%
王忠銘 85%
曹爾元 6.7%
曹爾章 <1%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
王忠銘
$3,423 交易量
85%
曹爾元
$718 交易量
8%
曹爾章
$749 交易量
1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wang Chung-ming, the Kuomintang incumbent magistrate of Lienchiang County since 2022, leads the Polymarket with an 84.5% implied probability ahead of the November 28, 2026, local elections. Traders price in his incumbency advantages, including prior deputy experience, established party organizational networks, and the county's longstanding KMT voting patterns in magistrate races. Potential challengers such as Tsao Erh-yuan at 7.5% and Tsao Erh-chang at 0.5% remain marginal, reflecting limited reported nominations or primary contests to date. July 2026 KMT leadership events across counties reinforced party cohesion without indicating shifts in this race. The wide margin captures these structural factors while leaving room for late entries or primary outcomes to adjust probabilities before the vote.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 9:06 AM ET
交易量
$4,890結束日期
2026-11-28市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 9:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wang Chung-ming, the Kuomintang incumbent magistrate of Lienchiang County since 2022, leads the Polymarket with an 84.5% implied probability ahead of the November 28, 2026, local elections. Traders price in his incumbency advantages, including prior deputy experience, established party organizational networks, and the county's longstanding KMT voting patterns in magistrate races. Potential challengers such as Tsao Erh-yuan at 7.5% and Tsao Erh-chang at 0.5% remain marginal, reflecting limited reported nominations or primary contests to date. July 2026 KMT leadership events across counties reinforced party cohesion without indicating shifts in this race. The wide margin captures these structural factors while leaving room for late entries or primary outcomes to adjust probabilities before the vote.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$4,890結束日期
2026-11-28市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 9:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wang Chung-ming, the Kuomintang incumbent magistrate of Lienchiang County since 2022, leads the Polymarket with an 84.5% implied probability ahead of the November 28, 2026, local elections. Traders price in his incumbency advantages, including prior deputy experience, established party organizational networks, and the county's longstanding KMT voting patterns in magistrate races. Potential challengers such as Tsao Erh-yuan at 7.5% and Tsao Erh-chang at 0.5% remain marginal, reflecting limited reported nominations or primary contests to date. July 2026 KMT leadership events across counties reinforced party cohesion without indicating shifts in this race. The wide margin captures these structural factors while leaving room for late entries or primary outcomes to adjust probabilities before the vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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