Ulf Prange holds a 66% implied probability in the Oldenburg mayoral runoff market after securing 33.2% in the September 13 first round, edging out Jascha Rohr at 30.5% and eliminating the other seven candidates. The SPD nominee's narrow lead and established local profile as a longtime councilor and state parliament member have driven trader consensus toward him ahead of the September 27 vote. Rohr, running as an independent with joint backing from the Greens and CDU, benefits from cross-party support but trails in current pricing following the initial results. Lower probabilities on remaining names and "other" reflect their exclusion from the runoff, with market positioning shaped by the two-candidate contest and limited time before ballots close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於烏爾夫·普蘭格 84%
Jascha Rohr 30%
Sebastian Fröhlich <1%
Heike Boldt <1%
$22,378 交易量
$22,378 交易量
2026-09-13
烏爾夫·普蘭格
66%
Jascha Rohr
21%
Sebastian Fröhlich
<1%
Heike Boldt
<1%
霍爾格·馬丁·威爾肯斯
<1%
雅庫普·卡斯圖爾
<1%
Byanca Küßner
<1%
米夏埃爾·斯蒂勒
<1%
拉爾夫·布茲茵
<1%
烏爾夫·普蘭格 84%
Jascha Rohr 30%
Sebastian Fröhlich <1%
Heike Boldt <1%
$22,378 交易量
$22,378 交易量
2026-09-13
烏爾夫·普蘭格
$9,352 交易量
66%
Jascha Rohr
$6,509 交易量
21%
Sebastian Fröhlich
$971 交易量
<1%
Heike Boldt
$881 交易量
<1%
霍爾格·馬丁·威爾肯斯
$712 交易量
<1%
雅庫普·卡斯圖爾
$517 交易量
<1%
Byanca Küßner
$1,083 交易量
<1%
米夏埃爾·斯蒂勒
$1,134 交易量
<1%
拉爾夫·布茲茵
$1,219 交易量
<1%
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.Ulf Prange holds a 66% implied probability in the Oldenburg mayoral runoff market after securing 33.2% in the September 13 first round, edging out Jascha Rohr at 30.5% and eliminating the other seven candidates. The SPD nominee's narrow lead and established local profile as a longtime councilor and state parliament member have driven trader consensus toward him ahead of the September 27 vote. Rohr, running as an independent with joint backing from the Greens and CDU, benefits from cross-party support but trails in current pricing following the initial results. Lower probabilities on remaining names and "other" reflect their exclusion from the runoff, with market positioning shaped by the two-candidate contest and limited time before ballots close.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
市場開放時間： Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
交易量
$22,378結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ETThe next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.Ulf Prange holds a 66% implied probability in the Oldenburg mayoral runoff market after securing 33.2% in the September 13 first round, edging out Jascha Rohr at 30.5% and eliminating the other seven candidates. The SPD nominee's narrow lead and established local profile as a longtime councilor and state parliament member have driven trader consensus toward him ahead of the September 27 vote. Rohr, running as an independent with joint backing from the Greens and CDU, benefits from cross-party support but trails in current pricing following the initial results. Lower probabilities on remaining names and "other" reflect their exclusion from the runoff, with market positioning shaped by the two-candidate contest and limited time before ballots close.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
交易量
$22,378結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ETUlf Prange holds a 66% implied probability in the Oldenburg mayoral runoff market after securing 33.2% in the September 13 first round, edging out Jascha Rohr at 30.5% and eliminating the other seven candidates. The SPD nominee's narrow lead and established local profile as a longtime councilor and state parliament member have driven trader consensus toward him ahead of the September 27 vote. Rohr, running as an independent with joint backing from the Greens and CDU, benefits from cross-party support but trails in current pricing following the initial results. Lower probabilities on remaining names and "other" reflect their exclusion from the runoff, with market positioning shaped by the two-candidate contest and limited time before ballots close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
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Frequently Asked Questions