Recent polls ahead of Quebec’s October 5 election show a fragmented race, with the PQ leading provincewide at 28–30% while the CAQ has surged to within a statistical tie in the latest Synopsis survey. The PLQ has slipped to around 20–23%, retaining strength on Montreal island but weaker francophone support elsewhere. The PCQ holds steady near 14–16%, performing better in the Quebec City region. These trends, combined with regional divides and early-campaign volatility, leave traders assigning the highest implied probability for third place to the PLQ, followed by the CAQ and PCQ. Shifts in francophone turnout or further consolidation among non-sovereigntist voters could alter the order before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於PLQ 41%
CAQ 30%
PCQ 20%
PQ 9%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
PLQ
41%
CAQ
30%
PCQ
20%
PQ
9%
QS
4%
PVQ
1%
PLQ 41%
CAQ 30%
PCQ 20%
PQ 9%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
PLQ
$865 交易量
41%
CAQ
$631 交易量
30%
PCQ
$239 交易量
20%
PQ
$850 交易量
9%
QS
$666 交易量
4%
PVQ
$369 交易量
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls ahead of Quebec’s October 5 election show a fragmented race, with the PQ leading provincewide at 28–30% while the CAQ has surged to within a statistical tie in the latest Synopsis survey. The PLQ has slipped to around 20–23%, retaining strength on Montreal island but weaker francophone support elsewhere. The PCQ holds steady near 14–16%, performing better in the Quebec City region. These trends, combined with regional divides and early-campaign volatility, leave traders assigning the highest implied probability for third place to the PLQ, followed by the CAQ and PCQ. Shifts in francophone turnout or further consolidation among non-sovereigntist voters could alter the order before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
交易量
$3,619結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls ahead of Quebec’s October 5 election show a fragmented race, with the PQ leading provincewide at 28–30% while the CAQ has surged to within a statistical tie in the latest Synopsis survey. The PLQ has slipped to around 20–23%, retaining strength on Montreal island but weaker francophone support elsewhere. The PCQ holds steady near 14–16%, performing better in the Quebec City region. These trends, combined with regional divides and early-campaign volatility, leave traders assigning the highest implied probability for third place to the PLQ, followed by the CAQ and PCQ. Shifts in francophone turnout or further consolidation among non-sovereigntist voters could alter the order before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$3,619結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETRecent polls ahead of Quebec’s October 5 election show a fragmented race, with the PQ leading provincewide at 28–30% while the CAQ has surged to within a statistical tie in the latest Synopsis survey. The PLQ has slipped to around 20–23%, retaining strength on Montreal island but weaker francophone support elsewhere. The PCQ holds steady near 14–16%, performing better in the Quebec City region. These trends, combined with regional divides and early-campaign volatility, leave traders assigning the highest implied probability for third place to the PLQ, followed by the CAQ and PCQ. Shifts in francophone turnout or further consolidation among non-sovereigntist voters could alter the order before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions