Peggy Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat on August 11, 2026, defeating Rep. Angie Craig in the primary and earning endorsements from retiring Sen. Tina Smith and the state DFL party. Minnesota’s consistent Democratic lean at the federal level, combined with Flanagan’s statewide profile as lieutenant governor and her appeal to progressive and establishment voters, underpins trader consensus favoring her in the November general election. Michele Tafoya’s Republican primary victory positions her as the GOP nominee, yet the party’s historical challenges in statewide races limit her prospects absent major national shifts or late developments such as turnout surges, candidate controversies, or economic shocks that could narrow the gap.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$43,250 交易量
$43,250 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
93%
共和黨
8%
$43,250 交易量
$43,250 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$28,154 交易量
93%
共和黨
$15,096 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat on August 11, 2026, defeating Rep. Angie Craig in the primary and earning endorsements from retiring Sen. Tina Smith and the state DFL party. Minnesota’s consistent Democratic lean at the federal level, combined with Flanagan’s statewide profile as lieutenant governor and her appeal to progressive and establishment voters, underpins trader consensus favoring her in the November general election. Michele Tafoya’s Republican primary victory positions her as the GOP nominee, yet the party’s historical challenges in statewide races limit her prospects absent major national shifts or late developments such as turnout surges, candidate controversies, or economic shocks that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
交易量
$43,250結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat on August 11, 2026, defeating Rep. Angie Craig in the primary and earning endorsements from retiring Sen. Tina Smith and the state DFL party. Minnesota’s consistent Democratic lean at the federal level, combined with Flanagan’s statewide profile as lieutenant governor and her appeal to progressive and establishment voters, underpins trader consensus favoring her in the November general election. Michele Tafoya’s Republican primary victory positions her as the GOP nominee, yet the party’s historical challenges in statewide races limit her prospects absent major national shifts or late developments such as turnout surges, candidate controversies, or economic shocks that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$43,250結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Peggy Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat on August 11, 2026, defeating Rep. Angie Craig in the primary and earning endorsements from retiring Sen. Tina Smith and the state DFL party. Minnesota’s consistent Democratic lean at the federal level, combined with Flanagan’s statewide profile as lieutenant governor and her appeal to progressive and establishment voters, underpins trader consensus favoring her in the November general election. Michele Tafoya’s Republican primary victory positions her as the GOP nominee, yet the party’s historical challenges in statewide races limit her prospects absent major national shifts or late developments such as turnout surges, candidate controversies, or economic shocks that could narrow the gap.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions